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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Besiktas

T U S S T

1–3

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 44%

67%

20%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

60%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,63 xG 1,06

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+20	+7.8	28
2	Samsunspor	10	7	1	2	+10	+4.8	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+13	+11.5	20
4	Besiktas	9	6	2	1	+11	+7.0	20
5	Sivasspor	11	5	2	4	+1	-7.6	17
6	Eyüpspor	10	4	4	2	+4	-0.3	16
7	Goztep	10	4	3	3	+4	+0.9	15
8	Buyuksehyr	9	4	3	2	+4	+1.5	15
9	Trabzonspor	9	2	6	1	+1	-1.6	12
10	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-1	-2.1	12
11	Kasimpasa	10	2	5	3	-4	+1.3	11
12	Konyaspor	10	3	2	5	-5	-0.8	11
13	Antalyaspor	10	3	2	5	-8	-6.9	11
14	Bodrumspor	10	3	1	6	-5	-0.9	10
15	Rizespor	10	3	1	6	-11	-2.4	10
16	Alanyaspor	10	2	3	5	-5	+1.0	9
17	Kayserispor	10	1	6	3	-6	-3.4	9
18	Hatayspor	9	0	3	6	-8	-6.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	0	2	8	-15	-3.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+10	+8.7	16
2	Goztep	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
3	Besiktas	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.7	12
4	Eyüpspor	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
5	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-3.7	10
6	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+4	+6.2	9
7	Buyuksehyr	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
8	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.5	8
9	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.6	8
10	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.7	7
11	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-3.7	7
12	Bodrumspor	5	2	0	3	+1	+0.8	6
13	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
14	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.8	5
15	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
16	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-1.1	3
17	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-6	+0.0	3
18	Hatayspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.7	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	0	5	-11	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Samsunspor	5	5	0	0	+10	+3.1	15
2	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
3	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	0	+9	+5.3	11
4	Besiktas	5	2	2	1	+4	+1.3	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.2	8
6	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.9	7
7	Buyuksehyr	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.9	7
8	Eyüpspor	6	1	3	2	-1	-1.4	6
9	Kayserispor	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.3	6
10	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-5	-2.6	6
11	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-5	-1.1	6
12	Trabzonspor	5	0	4	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
14	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.2	4
15	Bodrumspor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.7	4
16	Alanyaspor	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-3.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.