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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Tennøy
Moss
S T U S U
3–2
Full-time
Raufoss
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 44%
48%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
59%
39%
Both score Ø 53%
52%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 4. · Raufoss 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 28 20 5 3 +48 65
2 Bryne 28 16 4 8 +17 52
3 Lyn 27 12 9 6 +18 45
4 Moss 27 13 5 9 +10 44
5 Egersund 27 13 5 9 +1 44
6 Stabaek 28 12 6 10 +4 42
7 Raufoss 28 11 8 9 +1 41
8 Kongsvinger 25 9 10 6 -5 37
9 Ranheim 28 9 9 10 +1 36
10 Aalesund 28 10 4 14 -8 34
11 Start 28 9 7 12 -9 34
12 Sogndal 28 8 7 13 -4 31
13 Asane 28 8 7 13 -8 31
14 Levanger 28 6 11 11 -2 29
15 Mjondalen 28 6 8 14 -16 26
16 Sandnes ULF 28 4 5 19 -48 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Raufoss
1–0 B. Hegland
5′
9′
J. Lynum 1–1
2–1 B. Isufi
21′
3–1 B. Hegland
38′
Half-time 3–1
50′
🟨 A. Hansen
58′
🔁 R. Nelson
↦ J. Lynum
61′
E. Hustad 3–2
L. Mendy 🔁
↦ N. Alexandersson
65′
70′
🔁 A. Hussein
↦ Y. Agyeman
João Barros 🔁
↦ S. Elmi
77′
Benarfa 🔁
↦ S. Pedersen
77′
H. Krohg 🔁
↦ B. Isufi
77′
80′
🟨 M. Alm
87′
🟨 A. Hussein
90′
🟨 M. Fagernes
92′
🔁 E. Furaha
↦ A. Hansen
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.