OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Moss
Raufoss
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | +48 | 65 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | +17 | 52 |
| 3 |
Lyn
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +18 | 45 |
| 4 |
Moss
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +10 | 44 |
| 5 |
Egersund
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +1 | 44 |
| 6 |
Stabaek
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 42 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Aalesund
|
28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -8 | 34 |
| 11 |
Start
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 |
Sogndal
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 |
Levanger
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | -48 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Moss
Moss
Levanger
Moss
Asane
Bryne
Moss
Moss
Sandnes ULF
J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.