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DFB-Pokal

Referee: B Dankert

FC Koln

U U S T T

3–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

5 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 22. · Holstein Kiel 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Kickers Offenbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Kickers Offenbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
33	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
35	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.