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Serie B

Referee: D Rutella

Spezia

U S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Modena

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

45%

18%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

36%

73%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

22 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Modena 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	6	4	1	+11	22
2	Pisa	11	6	4	1	+6	22
3	Spezia	11	5	6	0	+7	21
4	Cremonese	11	5	3	3	+4	18
5	Palermo	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+0	16
7	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Cesena	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Cosenza	11	3	5	3	-1	14
10	Brescia	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Bari	11	2	7	2	+2	13
12	Catanzaro	11	2	7	2	+2	13
13	Mantova	11	3	4	4	-3	13
14	Sudtirol	11	4	1	6	-4	13
15	Carrarese	11	3	3	5	-2	12
16	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
17	Salernitana	11	3	3	5	-3	12
18	Modena	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Cittadella	11	2	4	5	-9	10
20	Frosinone	11	1	5	5	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Cesena	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Spezia	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Brescia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Catanzaro	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Carrarese	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Modena	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Cremonese	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Salernitana	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Juve Stabia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Bari	6	1	4	1	+0	7
16	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Sudtirol	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Palermo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
19	Cittadella	5	0	4	1	-1	4
20	Frosinone	6	0	4	2	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	6	3	3	0	+6	12
2	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
3	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Juve Stabia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
5	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Spezia	6	1	5	0	+2	8
7	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
9	Cosenza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Cittadella	6	2	0	4	-8	6
12	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Catanzaro	5	0	4	1	-2	4
14	Reggiana	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Brescia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Carrarese	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Frosinone	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Modena	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Cesena	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Mantova	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.