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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Hertha
U U S T S
1–3
Full-time
FC Koln
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
65%
53%
Both score Ø 68%
59%
76%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 7
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 12. · FC Koln 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 1 3 +39 43
2 Dortmund 18 12 1 5 +16 37
3 Hoffenheim 18 9 4 5 +11 31
4 Freiburg 18 8 6 4 +12 30
5 Leverkusen 18 8 5 5 +12 29
6 Union Berlin 18 7 7 4 +2 28
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 +2 27
8 RB Leipzig 18 7 4 7 +11 25
9 FC Koln 17 6 7 4 +0 25
10 Mainz 18 7 3 8 +5 24
11 M'gladbach 18 6 4 8 -9 22
12 Hertha 17 6 3 8 -15 21
13 Bochum 17 6 2 9 -10 20
14 Wolfsburg 17 6 2 9 -12 20
15 Stuttgart 18 4 6 8 -9 18
16 Augsburg 18 4 6 8 -11 18
17 Bielefeld 18 3 8 7 -8 17
18 Greuther Furth 18 1 3 14 -36 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Aug -21 FC Koln – Hertha 3–1 15. May -21 Hertha – FC Koln 0–0 16. Jan -21 FC Koln – Hertha 0–0 22. Feb -20 Hertha – FC Koln 0–5 29. Sep -19 FC Koln – Hertha 0–4

Match report

Hertha FC Koln
15′
🟨 Timo Hübers
29′
⚽ A. Modeste 0–1
M. Uth
32′
⚽ O. Duda 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Jordan Torunarigha 🟨
48′
1–2 V. Darida ⚽
57′
Suat Serdar 🟨
61′
65′
🔁 D. Ljubičić
↦ L. Schaub
66′
🔁 J. Thielmann
↦ F. Kainz
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ M. Maolida
69′
J. Ekkelenkamp 🔁
↦ D. Selke
69′
78′
🔁 J. Horn
↦ M. Uth
L. Tousart 🔁
↦ S. Ascacíbar
81′
L. Klünter 🔁
↦ P. Pekarík
81′
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 T. Ostrák
↦ O. Duda
91′
⚽ J. Thielmann 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-2-2
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
5 N. Stark D
25 J. Torunarigha D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
6 V. Darida M
8 S. Serdar M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
7 D. Selke F
23 M. Richter M
11 M. Maolida F
Bench (9)
27 K. Boateng
10 J. Ekkelenkamp
29 L. Tousart
13 L. Klünter
31 M. Dárdai
44 L. Gechter
32 O. Christensen
21 M. Plattenhardt
30 D. Jastrzembski

Coach: T. Korkut

FC Koln

4-1-3-2
20 M. Schwäbe G
2 B. Schmitz D
4 T. Hübers D
15 L. Kilian D
11 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
21 L. Schaub M
18 O. Duda M
6 S. Özcan M
27 A. Modeste F
13 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
7 D. Ljubičić
29 J. Thielmann
23 J. Horn
31 T. Ostrák
1 T. Horn
25 T. Lemperle
30 M. Obuz
19 K. Ehizibue
47 M. Olesen

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
🔒
U
3,48
🔒
B ✓
2,52
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
U2,5
2,07
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.