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2. Bundesliga
Referee: A Aarnink
3–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 10. · Nurnberg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 5 4 0 1 +3 12
2 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 1 1 +7 10
4 Hamburg 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Hansa Rostock 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Wehen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 St Pauli 5 1 4 0 +1 7
8 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Nurnberg 4 2 1 1 +0 7
10 Kaiserslautern 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Greuther Furth 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Osnabruck 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Elversberg 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Nurnberg
1–0 R. Tachie
19′
2–0 T. Puchacz
M. Ritter
26′
3–0 R. Ache
T. Puchacz
30′
36′
L. Schleimer 3–1
B. Goller
Half-time 3–1
A. Opoku 🔁
↦ T. Raschl
46′
52′
🟨 Benjamin Goller
55′
🔁 C. Daferner
↦ D. Hayashi
55′
🔁 J. Hungbo
↦ B. Goller
A. Aremu 🔁
↦ J. Niehues
58′
K. Redondo 🔁
↦ R. Tachie
59′
61′
🔁 C. Uzun
↦ T. Duman
68′
🔁 T. Handwerker
↦ L. Schleimer
T. Boyd 🔁
↦ R. Ache
70′
71′
ℹ️ Kanji Okunuki
VAR: Goal cancelled
D. Hanslik 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
81′
88′
🟥 Christian Mathenia
Jean Zimmer 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Jannes Horn
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
18 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
5 K. Kraus D
2 B. Tomiak D
8 J. Zimmer M
20 T. Raschl M
16 J. Niehues M
15 T. Puchacz M
7 M. Ritter F
29 R. Tachie F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
17 A. Opoku
4 A. Aremu
11 K. Redondo
13 T. Boyd
19 D. Hanslik
21 H. Zuck
1 A. Luthe
23 P. Hercher
14 N. Soldo

Coach: D. Schuster

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
19 F. Hübner D
38 J. Horn D
27 N. Brown D
8 T. Duman M
41 A. Loune M
36 L. Schleimer M
14 B. Goller F
9 D. Hayashi F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
33 C. Daferner
23 J. Hungbo
42 C. Uzun
29 T. Handwerker
5 J. Geis
17 J. Castrop
1 C. Klaus
22 E. Valentini
4 J. Lawrence

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,57
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Aarnink · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.