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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

S T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

9 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 16. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Bochum	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Osnabruck	6	2	4	0	+2	10
5	Greuther Furth	6	2	3	1	+4	9
6	Hannover	6	3	0	3	+3	9
7	Regensburg	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Darmstadt	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Heidenheim	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Erzgebirge Aue	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Sandhausen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Braunschweig	7	2	2	3	-6	8
14	St Pauli	6	1	4	1	+1	7
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Nurnberg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Karlsruhe	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Sandhausen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Osnabruck	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Braunschweig	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Bochum	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Darmstadt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Bochum	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Osnabruck	3	0	3	0	+0	3
7	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
8	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Nurnberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Paderborn	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Regensburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Karlsruhe	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-8	1
14	Heidenheim	3	0	0	3	-4	0
15	Hannover	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	0	3	-5	0
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.