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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Tromso

S S T T S

4–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,3

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 47%

58%

35%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

69%

Both score Ø 66%

58%

73%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,19 xG 0,61

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 4. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	27	19	5	3	+33	+24.1	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	27	19	4	4	+46	+41.0	61
3	Brann	27	16	4	7	+11	+22.4	52
4	Tromso	26	15	3	8	+8	+6.5	48
5	Valerenga	27	12	4	11	+1	-7.5	40
6	Fredrikstad	27	10	9	8	+7	-2.7	39
7	Sandefjord	27	12	3	12	+6	-5.6	39
8	Rosenborg	27	9	9	9	-3	+1.7	36
9	Sarpsborg 08	26	9	8	9	+0	+10.2	35
10	KFUM Oslo	27	8	10	9	+4	+11.8	34
11	Ham-Kam	27	9	7	11	-5	-12.1	34
12	Molde	27	10	3	14	-1	+4.6	33
13	Kristiansund	27	8	7	12	-21	-18.9	31
14	Bryne	27	7	7	13	-14	-7.5	28
15	Stromsgodset	27	6	2	19	-24	-23.5	20
16	Haugesund	27	2	3	22	-48	-44.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	10	2	1	+21	+16.2	32
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	1	2	+29	+24.9	31
3	Brann	13	9	2	2	+10	+14.2	29
4	Sandefjord	13	9	1	3	+16	+1.9	28
5	Valerenga	14	8	3	3	+10	-0.3	27
6	Fredrikstad	14	7	4	3	+9	+1.9	25
7	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
8	Molde	14	7	1	6	+6	+12.1	22
9	Bryne	14	6	4	4	+0	+2.5	22
10	Rosenborg	13	5	6	2	+8	+9.4	21
11	Ham-Kam	14	6	3	5	+0	-4.6	21
12	KFUM Oslo	14	5	5	4	+5	+8.8	20
13	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	4	5	-1	+3.4	16
14	Kristiansund	13	4	4	5	-4	-6.3	16
15	Stromsgodset	14	3	1	10	-15	-7.5	10
16	Haugesund	13	1	2	10	-24	-12.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	3	2	+17	+16.1	30
2	Viking	14	9	3	2	+12	+7.9	30
3	Tromso	13	7	2	4	+2	+1.0	23
4	Brann	14	7	2	5	+1	+8.2	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	14	4	3	7	-11	-7.7	15
7	Kristiansund	14	4	3	7	-17	-12.6	15
8	KFUM Oslo	13	3	5	5	-1	+3.0	14
9	Fredrikstad	13	3	5	5	-2	-4.6	14
10	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	-5	-7.6	13
11	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
12	Molde	13	3	2	8	-7	-7.5	11
13	Sandefjord	14	3	2	9	-10	-7.5	11
14	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-9	-15.9	10
15	Bryne	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.0	6
16	Haugesund	14	1	1	12	-24	-31.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.