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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Tromso
S T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 5. · Sarpsborg 08 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 9 8 1 0 +18 25
2 Brann 9 5 2 2 +9 17
3 Sarpsborg 08 8 4 3 1 +4 15
4 Viking 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Tromso 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Stabaek 8 4 2 2 -1 14
7 Molde 9 4 1 4 +8 13
8 Lillestrom 8 4 1 3 +0 13
9 Valerenga 8 3 1 4 +0 10
10 Odd 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Rosenborg 9 2 3 4 -5 9
12 Stromsgodset 8 2 2 4 -3 8
13 Ham-Kam 8 2 1 5 -9 7
14 Sandefjord 8 1 3 4 -5 6
15 Haugesund 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Aalesund 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
S. Thomas 🔁
↦ J. Haugaard
8′
30′
V. Torp 0–1
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Victor Torp
58′
🟨 Mikkel Maigaard
M. Traoré 🔁
↦ C. Psyché
70′
70′
🔁 S. Tibbling
↦ C. Baah
1–1 N. Vesterlund
M. Traoré
73′
83′
🔁 P. Reinhardsen
↦ E. Wichne
83′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ V. Torp
88′
🔁 S. Kvile
↦ A. Skipper
J. Romsaas 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
89′
2–1 M. Traoré
V. Erlien
92′
Vegard Erlien 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

5-4-1
1 J. Haugaard G
19 N. Vesterlund D
4 J. Gundersen D
28 C. Psyché D
20 C. Øyvann D
24 D. Bassi D
17 Y. Paintsil M
22 S. Opsahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (9)
12 S. Thomas
29 M. Traoré
10 J. Romsaas
21 T. Hafstad
5 A. Jenssen
26 E. Diouf
3 J. Robertsen
16 M. Koskela
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl

Coach: G. Helstrup

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
32 E. Wichne D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
17 J. Soltvedt D
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali M
29 V. Torp M
90 C. Baah M
8 J. Andersen M
25 M. Maigaard M
10 R. Lundqvist F
Bench (9)
11 S. Tibbling
20 P. Reinhardsen
7 M. Andersen
3 S. Kvile
23 G. Mogensen
72 S. Christiansen
40 L. Øy
6 M. Høyland
22 K. Opseth

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.