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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Sebastian Krasny

Lech Poznan

S U T U S

2–2

Full-time

Motor Lublin

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

42%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 6. · Motor Lublin 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	2	3	+14	-1.3	29
2	Jagiellonia	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.6	24
3	Wisla Plock	12	6	4	2	+7	+6.4	22
4	Cracovia	12	6	3	3	+7	+4.5	21
5	Korona Kielce	14	5	5	4	+4	-0.7	20
6	Lech Poznan	12	5	5	2	+2	+6.9	20
7	Zaglebie	12	4	5	3	+7	-1.0	17
8	Rakow	12	5	2	5	-2	+0.8	17
9	Pogon Szczecin	13	5	2	6	-3	+5.4	17
10	GKS Katowice	14	5	2	7	-4	-6.9	17
11	Legia	12	4	4	4	+2	+2.6	16
12	Radomiak Radom	13	4	4	5	+0	-0.8	16
13	Widzew Lodz	13	5	1	7	+0	+2.9	16
14	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-7	-3.0	15
15	Arka Gdynia	14	4	3	7	-15	-6.0	15
16	Motor Lublin	12	3	5	4	-5	-2.5	14
17	Nieciecza	14	2	4	8	-11	-1.8	10
18	Piast Gliwice	12	1	5	6	-5	-6.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	8	6	0	2	+10	+1.7	18
2	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+7	+5.3	16
3	Jagiellonia	6	5	0	1	+8	+0.6	15
4	Radomiak Radom	7	4	2	1	+8	+1.5	14
5	Cracovia	6	4	2	0	+6	+4.2	14
6	Arka Gdynia	6	4	2	0	+4	-2.2	14
7	Korona Kielce	6	4	1	1	+7	+1.3	13
8	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	+2.1	13
9	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.9	12
10	Legia	6	3	3	0	+6	+2.3	12
11	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.5	12
12	GKS Katowice	7	3	1	3	+0	-3.1	10
13	Motor Lublin	6	2	3	1	+1	+2.1	9
14	Lech Poznan	7	2	3	2	-2	+5.0	9
15	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
16	Rakow	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.6	8
17	Piast Gliwice	6	1	3	2	+0	-1.2	6
18	Nieciecza	7	0	2	5	-10	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
2	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	2	1	+4	-3.0	11
3	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	+1	–	9
4	Rakow	6	3	0	3	-3	-0.8	9
5	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.6	8
6	Cracovia	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.3	7
7	Korona Kielce	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.1	7
8	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-4	-3.7	7
9	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	1	5	-9	-4.2	7
10	Wisla Plock	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.1	6
11	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.9	5
12	Pogon Szczecin	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.9	5
13	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.6	5
14	Legia	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.3	4
15	Widzew Lodz	6	1	0	5	-5	+0.8	3
16	Piast Gliwice	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.0	2
17	Radomiak Radom	6	0	2	4	-8	-2.3	2
18	Arka Gdynia	8	0	1	7	-19	-3.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.