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OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek
U S S S T
1–5
Full-time
Lyn
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lyn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
25%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
61%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
68%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 11. · Lyn 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 29 24 5 0 +66 77
2 Start 29 15 7 7 +20 52
3 Aalesund 27 14 9 4 +25 51
4 Kongsvinger 28 14 8 6 +16 50
5 Egersund 27 13 7 7 +12 46
6 Lyn 28 13 5 10 +10 44
7 Sogndal 29 12 7 10 +4 43
8 Ranheim 28 12 6 10 -4 42
9 Odd 29 8 9 12 -10 33
10 hodd 29 8 8 13 -18 32
11 Stabaek 28 7 10 11 -1 31
12 Asane 29 7 9 13 -15 30
13 Raufoss 28 7 8 13 -12 29
14 Moss 29 7 6 16 -24 27
15 Mjondalen 28 5 7 16 -35 22
16 Skeid 29 1 9 19 -34 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Lyn
9′
A. Hellum 0–1
A. Olsen
27′
A. Hellum 0–2
M. Johansen
J. Isaksen 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–3
51′
M. Johansen 0–3
1–3 S. Olderheim
A. Matic
56′
60′
🔁 T. Myhre
↦ M. Johansen
60′
🔁 I. Barnett
↦ J. Skaug
M. Hellan 🟨
63′
J. Skjelvik 🔁
↦ A. Andresen
71′
O. Veum 🔁
↦ K. Pedersen
71′
A. Cedergren 🔁
↦ A. Matic
71′
79′
A. Hellum 1–4
81′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ A. Hellum
E. Danso 🟨
83′
M. Lankhof-Dahlby 🔁
↦ S. Olderheim
83′
K. Opseth 🔁
↦ M. Hellan
83′
86′
T. Myhre 1–5
90′
🔁 B. Hylen
↦ A. Olsen
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
13 M. Hellan
2 K. Pedersen
4 N. Naess
7 R. E. Vinge
27 E. Danso
6 A. Matic
20 A. Andresen
28 J. Isaksen
9 B. Diabate
17 S. Olderheim
Bench (9)
41 K. Lokkevik
5 J. Skjelvik
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
14 M. Nielsen
15 O. Veum
21 K. Onsrud
22 K. Opseth
23 W. Wendt
32 A. Cedergren

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Lyn

1 A. Pedersen
55 S. Haugen
4 W. Sell
6 A. Midtskogen
18 H. Nilsen
5 E. Bydal
24 D. Fredriksen
9 A. Olsen
21 J. Skaug
10 M. Johansen
11 A. Hellum
Bench (9)
12 J. Wold
13 M. Lunde
14 E. Isufi
17 D. Arzani
19 T. Myhre
25 M. Ingebrigtsen
27 I. Barnett
28 M. Niang
77 B. Hylen

Coach: Magnus Aadland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.