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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Groningen
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Twente
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,33 xG 1,44
55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 5. · Twente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Feyenoord 11 9 1 1 +20 +17.4 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 9 1 1 +19 +11.3 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 3 1 +10 +10.3 21
4 Ajax 11 5 5 1 +6 +2.6 20
5 Groningen 10 6 0 4 +2 +1.6 18
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 1 4 -8 -3.3 16
7 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 +8 +4.6 15
8 Twente 10 4 2 4 +2 +10.6 14
9 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 4 4 +0 -2.7 13
10 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 +0 +8.5 13
11 For Sittard 11 4 1 6 -4 -6.6 13
12 Utrecht 9 4 0 5 +4 -2.1 12
13 NAC Breda 11 3 3 5 -5 -6.3 12
14 Volendam 11 2 4 5 -5 -10.1 10
15 Excelsior 11 3 1 7 -11 -8.3 10
16 Zwolle 11 2 3 6 -14 -10.4 9
17 Telstar 11 2 2 7 -7 -5.7 8
18 Heracles 11 2 0 9 -17 -11.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Twente
5′
🟨 Daan Rots
Stije Resink 🟨
6′
Half-time 0–1
47′
K. Hlynsson 0–1
M. Rots
1–1 S. Resink
53′
55′
🟨 Robin Pröpper
63′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ S. Orjasaeter
Marvin Peersman 🟨
66′
B. Willumsson 🔁
↦ D. van der Werff
71′
74′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
75′
🔁 A. Verschueren
↦ K. Hlynsson
81′
🔁 T. Booth
↦ D. Rots
81′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
81′
🔁 S. Lemkin
↦ R. Nijstad
M. Seuntjens 🔁
↦ T. van Bergen
82′
86′
🟨 Mats Rots
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
5 M. Rente D
3 T. Blokzijl D
4 D. Janse D
43 M. Peersman D
8 T. de Jonge M
6 S. Resink M
17 D. van der Werff M
10 Y. Taha M
14 J. Schreuders M
26 T. van Bergen F
Bench (12)
13 L. Stubljar
21 H. Jurjus
2 W. Prins
16 T. Mercera
9 B. Willumsson
11 N. Emeran
18 T. Land
19 O. Zawada
20 M. Seuntjens
22 S. Bouland
27 R. Mendes
44 J. Dillema

Coach: Dick Lukkien

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
3 R. Propper D
43 R. Nijstad D
39 M. Rots D
6 R. Zerrouki M
20 T. van den Belt M
11 D. Rots M
14 K. Hlynsson M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (10)
5 B. Kuipers
7 M. Pjaca
8 T. Booth
10 S. Lammers
12 G. Peixoto
23 S. Lemkin
32 A. Verschueren
37 N. Unuvar
22 P. Tyton
21 S. Karssies

Coach: John Antonius van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U ✓
3,35
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.