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Serie B
Referee: Daniele Perenzoni
Catanzaro
U T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Venezia
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
7 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 11
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 13. · Venezia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 11 6 3 2 +11 +2.6 21
2 Modena 10 6 3 1 +10 +0.4 21
3 Monza 10 6 2 2 +7 +1.2 20
4 Cesena 10 6 2 2 +4 +0.8 20
5 Palermo 11 5 4 2 +7 -1.2 19
6 Venezia 10 4 4 2 +7 16
7 Avellino 11 4 4 3 -3 +0.2 16
8 Reggiana 11 4 3 4 +0 -0.4 15
9 Carrarese 11 3 5 3 +2 -0.8 14
10 Juve Stabia 9 3 5 1 +2 14
11 Padova 11 3 5 3 -1 14
12 Virtus Entella 11 3 4 4 -5 -2.6 13
13 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +1 12
14 Sudtirol 11 2 5 4 -3 11
15 Empoli 11 2 5 4 -5 -0.7 11
16 Bari 9 2 3 4 -6 9
17 Pescara 11 1 5 5 -8 -0.2 8
18 Spezia 10 1 4 5 -4 7
19 Sampdoria 10 1 4 5 -5 +0.7 7
20 Mantova 10 1 2 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Venezia
45′
🟨 Kike Pérez
Half-time 0–0
P. Nuamah 🔁
↦ G. Di Chiara
46′
1–0 P. Iemmello
54′
59′
J. Yeboah 1–1
K. Perez
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Michael Svoboda
62′
🔁 I. Doumbia
↦ E. Bohinen
62′
🔁 A. Pietrelli
↦ B. Bjarkason
67′
🔁 B. Franjic
↦ M. Sverko
74′
🟨 Andrea Adorante
G. Alesi 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
75′
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ A. Cisse
75′
2–1 G. Alesi
80′
84′
🔁 A. Casas
↦ A. Adorante
84′
🔁 D. Fila
86′
🟨 Antoine Hainaut
E. Bashi 🔁
↦ F. Rispoli
90′
M. Liberali 🔁
↦ P. Iemmello
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
84 T. Cassandro D
4 Matias Antonini D
23 N. Brighenti D
27 C. Favasuli M
32 F. Rispoli M
20 S. Pontisso M
17 G. Di Chiara M
98 D. Buglio F
80 A. Cisse F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
5 E. Bashi
18 D. Bettella
28 R. Oudin
10 J. Petriccione
30 G. Alesi
19 P. Nuamah
45 N. Buso
77 M. D'Alessandro
14 M. Liberali
7 L. Pandolfi
8 F. Pittarello

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Venezia

3-5-2
1 F. Stankovic G
3 J. Schingtienne D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Sverko D
18 A. Hainaut M
37 E. Bohinen M
71 K. Perez M
6 G. Busio M
19 B. Bjarkason M
9 A. Adorante F
10 J. Yeboah F
Bench (12)
23 M. Grandi
4 B. Franjic
5 R. Haps
2 S. Korac
20 R. Sagrado
16 M. Venturi
8 I. Doumbia
32 A. Duncan
24 N. Lella
99 A. Pietrelli
80 A. Casas
7 D. Fila

Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,07
U
3,16
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Perenzoni · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.