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Eliteserien

Referee: Christian Moen

Tromso

T S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Stromsgodset

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

59%

27%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

77%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

59%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,15 xG 0,91

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 4. · Stromsgodset 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	23	15	5	3	+23	+20.6	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	4	3	+39	+35.0	49
3	Brann	22	14	4	4	+12	+19.4	46
4	Tromso	22	13	3	6	+8	+4.1	42
5	Rosenborg	21	9	7	5	+5	+5.6	34
6	Fredrikstad	22	8	7	7	+3	-3.0	31
7	Valerenga	22	9	4	9	+1	-4.6	31
8	KFUM Oslo	22	7	8	7	+7	+7.1	29
9	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	8	8	+1	+11.4	29
10	Sandefjord	21	9	1	11	+4	-5.4	28
11	Molde	22	8	3	11	+0	-0.4	27
12	Kristiansund	22	7	6	9	-16	-15.7	27
13	Bryne	22	5	6	11	-12	-4.1	21
14	Ham-Kam	22	5	6	11	-14	-13.6	21
15	Stromsgodset	22	6	1	15	-17	-20.9	19
16	Haugesund	22	1	3	18	-44	-35.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	11	8	2	1	+14	+13.7	26
2	Brann	11	8	2	1	+8	+12.0	26
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
4	Sandefjord	11	8	0	3	+15	+0.7	24
5	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+6	+5.5	22
6	Fredrikstad	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
7	Rosenborg	10	5	5	0	+10	+8.2	20
8	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+6	+0.2	18
9	KFUM Oslo	11	4	4	3	+7	+4.4	16
10	Molde	11	5	1	5	+3	+6.3	16
11	Bryne	11	4	3	4	-3	+3.7	15
12	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	4	4	+1	+3.1	13
13	Kristiansund	11	3	4	4	-3	-6.0	13
14	Ham-Kam	11	3	3	5	-7	-7.2	12
15	Stromsgodset	11	3	0	8	-11	-8.2	9
16	Haugesund	11	1	2	8	-22	-11.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+15	+15.1	24
2	Viking	12	7	3	2	+9	+6.9	24
3	Brann	11	6	2	3	+4	+7.4	20
4	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+2	-1.3	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	4	4	+0	+8.4	16
6	Rosenborg	11	4	2	5	-5	-2.7	14
7	Kristiansund	11	4	2	5	-13	-9.7	14
8	KFUM Oslo	11	3	4	4	+0	+2.7	13
9	Valerenga	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.8	13
10	Molde	11	3	2	6	-3	-6.7	11
11	Fredrikstad	10	2	4	4	-4	-3.1	10
12	Stromsgodset	11	3	1	7	-6	-12.7	10
13	Ham-Kam	11	2	3	6	-7	-6.4	9
14	Bryne	11	1	3	7	-9	-7.7	6
15	Sandefjord	10	1	1	8	-11	-6.2	4
16	Haugesund	11	0	1	10	-22	-24.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.