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NM-cupen
Referee: S Sletner
Tromso
T T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromsdalen Uil 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Stabaek 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Levanger 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 Lysekloster 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Sandnes ULF 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Lillestrom 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Aalesund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Lyn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Eik-Tønsberg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Bjarg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Egersund 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Kjelsås 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Brattvåg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Odd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Brann 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
32 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
37 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
68 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
69 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Kristiansund
1–0 D. Braut
V. Erlien
25′
2–0 D. Braut
V. Erlien
38′
Half-time 2–0
T. Guddal 🔁
↦ V. Skjaervik
46′
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd 🔁
↦ L. Cornic
63′
66′
🔁 W. Igor
↦ S. Skeide
66′
🔁 H. Haugen
↦ A. Kryger
A. Mikkelsen 🔁
↦ V. Erlien
73′
J. Nois 🔁
↦ D. Edvardsson
73′
74′
🔁 M. Isah
↦ A. Ndour
74′
🔁 S. Kilen
↦ D. Tufekcic
82′
🟨 A. Ronning
A. Jenssen 🔁
↦ I. Vadebu
82′
86′
🔁 A. Borset
↦ N. Odegard
90′
S. Kilen 2–1
F. Flex
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

27 O. Lauvli
4 V. Skjaervik
30 I. Vadebu
25 A. S. Kinteh
2 L. Cornic
20 D. Edvardsson
11 R. Jenssen
7 L. O. Larsen
24 R. Kristiansen
15 V. Erlien
18 D. Braut
Bench (9)
1 J. Haugaard
5 A. Jenssen
9 Ieltsin Camoes
17 A. Mikkelsen
21 T. Guddal
23 J. Husebo
29 A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
34 M. Mikkelsen
35 J. Nois

Coach: Jorgen Vik

Kristiansund

26 A. Skjaerstein
14 A. Kryger
4 M. Olsen
3 F. Flex
21 I. Jelicic
6 S. Skeide
16 D. Tufekcic
18 N. Odegard
27 A. Ronning
25 A. Ndour
19 L. Alvheim
Bench (8)
12 A. Saether
2 A. Borset
7 M. Isah
9 S. Kilen
15 M. Rakneberg
20 W. Igor
22 I. Hoffmann
33 H. Haugen

Coach: Amund Skiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.