2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
Magdeburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Schalke 04
|
11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +8 | +1.8 | 24 |
| 2 |
Elversberg
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | -3.0 | 23 |
| 3 |
Paderborn
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | +2.8 | 23 |
| 4 |
Hannover
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +5 | +2.6 | 21 |
| 5 |
Karlsruhe
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +5 | -0.8 | 21 |
| 6 |
Kaiserslautern
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +7 | -0.2 | 19 |
| 7 |
Darmstadt
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | +3.6 | 19 |
| 8 |
Hertha
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | -0.9 | 17 |
| 9 |
Bielefeld
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +3 | -1.0 | 14 |
| 10 |
Preußen Münster
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | -1.8 | 14 |
| 11 |
Holstein Kiel
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +0 | -0.6 | 12 |
| 12 |
Nurnberg
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | +0.3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | -3.5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Braunschweig
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | -1.3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Greuther Furth
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | -0.2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Bochum
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | +1.8 | 7 |
| 17 |
Dresden
|
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -7 | +0.8 | 7 |
| 18 |
Magdeburg
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | -0.5 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Horn
G
L. Morgalla
D
P. Strompf
D
M. Wittek
D
C. Lenz
M
M. Pannewig
M
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
M
K. Watjen
M
G. Holtmann
M
F. Onyeka
F
Coach: Dieter-Klaus Hecking
D. Reimann
G
T. Muller
D
M. Mathisen
D
D. Heber
D
L. Ulrich
M
F. Michel
M
A. Nollenberger
M
M. Breunig
F
B. Atik
F
Coach: Markus Fiedler
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
Bochum
Holstein Kiel
Bochum
Bochum
Hertha
Kaiserslautern
Bochum
Bochum
Fortuna Dusseldorf
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.