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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Wagner
Bochum
T T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Magdeburg
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
70%
30%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,32 xG 2,11
36% Possession 64%
24 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 16. · Magdeburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 11 8 0 3 +8 +1.8 24
2 Elversberg 11 7 2 2 +14 -3.0 23
3 Paderborn 10 7 2 1 +8 +2.8 23
4 Hannover 11 6 3 2 +5 +2.6 21
5 Karlsruhe 11 6 3 2 +5 -0.8 21
6 Kaiserslautern 10 6 1 3 +7 -0.2 19
7 Darmstadt 11 5 4 2 +7 +3.6 19
8 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +4 -0.9 17
9 Bielefeld 11 4 2 5 +3 -1.0 14
10 Preußen Münster 11 4 2 5 -3 -1.8 14
11 Holstein Kiel 11 3 3 5 +0 -0.6 12
12 Nurnberg 11 3 3 5 -4 +0.3 12
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 3 1 6 -9 -3.5 10
14 Braunschweig 11 3 1 7 -10 -1.3 10
15 Greuther Furth 10 3 1 6 -12 -0.2 10
16 Bochum 10 2 1 7 -6 +1.8 7
17 Dresden 11 1 4 6 -7 +0.8 7
18 Magdeburg 10 2 1 7 -10 -0.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Magdeburg
36′
🟨 Philipp Hercher
39′
🔁 M. Geschwill
↦ T. Muller
1–0 K. Watjen
41′
Half-time 1–0
Mats Pannewig 🟨
54′
60′
🟨 Dominik Reimann
2–0 G. Holtmann
60′
61′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ P. Hercher
62′
🔁 A. Holmstrom
↦ M. Breunig
62′
🔁 C. Krempicki
↦ M. Mathisen
M. Bero 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
70′
P. Hofmann 🔁
↦ F. Onyeka
71′
78′
🟨 Barış Atik
79′
ℹ️ Alexander Nollenberger
VAR: Penalty confirmed
M. Kwarteng 🔁
↦ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
82′
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ K. Watjen
82′
84′
🟨 Laurin Ulrich
84′
🔁 N. Pesch
↦ F. Michel
Matúš Bero 🟨
95′
K. Miyoshi 🔁
↦ C. Lenz
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
20 N. Loosli D
3 P. Strompf D
32 M. Wittek D
34 C. Lenz M
24 M. Pannewig M
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht M
8 K. Watjen M
17 G. Holtmann M
21 F. Onyeka F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
4 E. Masovic
10 M. Obafemi
11 M. Kwarteng
15 F. Passlack
19 M. Bero
23 K. Miyoshi
26 R. Rosch
33 P. Hofmann

Coach: Dieter-Klaus Hecking

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
5 T. Muller D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
19 L. Musonda M
8 L. Ulrich M
21 F. Michel M
17 A. Nollenberger M
27 P. Hercher F
9 M. Breunig F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
4 E. Dzogovic
10 N. Pesch
11 A. Holmstrom
13 C. Krempicki
25 S. Gnaka
28 M. Geschwill
29 R. Ghrieb
38 L. Hyrylainen

Coach: Markus Fiedler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,61
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.