← Match Finder
Ekstraklasa
Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Gornik Zabrze
U S U S S
5–1
Full-time
Arka Gdynia
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Arka Gdynia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
62%
31%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
54%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
29 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 1. · Arka Gdynia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 13 8 2 3 +10 -1.3 26
2 Jagiellonia 12 7 3 2 +9 +0.6 24
3 Wisla Plock 12 6 4 2 +7 +6.4 22
4 Cracovia 12 6 3 3 +7 +4.5 21
5 Korona Kielce 14 5 5 4 +4 -0.7 20
6 Lech Poznan 12 5 5 2 +2 +6.9 20
7 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 +7 -1.0 17
8 Rakow 12 5 2 5 -2 +0.8 17
9 Pogon Szczecin 13 5 2 6 -3 +5.4 17
10 GKS Katowice 14 5 2 7 -4 -6.9 17
11 Legia 12 4 4 4 +2 +2.6 16
12 Radomiak Radom 13 4 4 5 +0 -0.8 16
13 Widzew Lodz 13 5 1 7 +0 +2.9 16
14 Lechia Gdansk 13 4 3 6 -7 -3.0 15
15 Arka Gdynia 13 4 3 6 -11 -6.0 15
16 Motor Lublin 12 3 5 4 -5 -2.5 14
17 Nieciecza 14 2 4 8 -11 -1.8 10
18 Piast Gliwice 12 1 5 6 -5 -6.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Arka Gdynia
Patrik Hellebrand 🟨
9′
1–0 S. Liseth
L. Ambros
13′
22′
🟨 Michał Marcjanik
Half-time 1–1
46′
N. Rusyn 1–1
2–1 M. Khlan
L. Ambros
50′
55′
ℹ️ Sebastian Kerk
VAR: Penalty cancelled
3–1 P. Hellebrand
M. Khlan
59′
4–1 O. Sow
62′
L. Zahovic 🔁
↦ L. Ambros
64′
B. Donio 🔁
↦ P. Hellebrand
64′
64′
🔁 D. Gojny
↦ E. D. Espiau Hernandez
64′
🔁 A. Sidibe
↦ M. Marcjanik
64′
🔁 P. Szysz
↦ S. Kerk
5–1 L. Zahovic
J. Kubicki
71′
L. Podolski 🔁
↦ S. Liseth
75′
K. Lukoszek 🔁
↦ O. Sow
75′
M. Kmet 🔁
↦ M. Khlan
75′
77′
🔁 T. Gaprindashvili
↦ K. Jakubczyk
77′
🔁 S. Sobczak
↦ D. Kocyla
80′
🟨 Dominick Zator
84′
🟨 Alassane Sidibe
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lubik G
16 P. Olkowski D
5 K. Szczesniak D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janza D
14 J. Kubicki M
8 P. Hellebrand M
30 O. Sow M
18 L. Ambros M
33 M. Khlan M
23 S. Liseth F
Bench (12)
92 P. Pietryga
99 T. Loska
7 L. Zahovic
9 Gabriel Barbosa
10 L. Podolski
17 K. Lukoszek
19 N. Dziegielewski
22 A. Abdullahi
28 B. Donio
55 M. Pingot
79 Goh Young-Jun
81 M. Kmet

Coach: Michal Gašparík

Arka Gdynia

3-4-2-1
77 D. Weglarz G
4 D. Zator D
23 K. Hermoso D
29 M. Marcjanik D
2 M. Navarro M
10 A. Nguiamba M
35 K. Jakubczyk M
11 D. Kocyla M
31 N. Rusyn F
37 S. Kerk F
99 E. D. Espiau Hernandez F
Bench (10)
1 J. Grobelny
33 D. Abramowicz
94 D. Gojny
6 L. Perea
8 A. Sidibe
9 T. Gaprindashvili
17 M. Predenkiewicz
21 P. Szysz
7 S. Sobczak
14 H. Vitalucci

Coach: Dawid Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tomasz Kwiatkowski · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.