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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Widzew Lodz
T S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Legia
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 13. · Legia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 14 9 2 3 +14 -1.3 29
2 Jagiellonia 13 7 3 3 +8 +0.6 24
3 Wisla Plock 12 6 4 2 +7 +6.4 22
4 Cracovia 12 6 3 3 +7 +4.5 21
5 Lech Poznan 13 5 6 2 +2 +6.9 21
6 Korona Kielce 14 5 5 4 +4 -0.7 20
7 Rakow 13 6 2 5 -1 +0.8 20
8 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 +7 -1.0 17
9 Pogon Szczecin 13 5 2 6 -3 +5.4 17
10 GKS Katowice 14 5 2 7 -4 -6.9 17
11 Legia 12 4 4 4 +2 +2.6 16
12 Radomiak Radom 13 4 4 5 +0 -0.8 16
13 Widzew Lodz 13 5 1 7 +0 +2.9 16
14 Motor Lublin 13 3 6 4 -5 -2.5 15
15 Lechia Gdansk 13 4 3 6 -7 -3.0 15
16 Arka Gdynia 14 4 3 7 -15 -6.0 15
17 Nieciecza 14 2 4 8 -11 -1.8 10
18 Piast Gliwice 12 1 5 6 -5 -6.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Legia
36′
🟨 Claude Gonçalves
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Rafał Augustyniak
Juljan Shehu 🟨
53′
Ángel Baena ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
64′
🟨 Kacper Urbański
65′
🔁 W. Urbanski
↦ C. Goncalves
65′
🔁 E. Krasniqi
↦ K. Chodyna
1–0 S. Bergier
66′
Veljko Ilić 🟨
70′
A. Zeqiri 🔁
↦ S. Bergier
72′
72′
🔁 A. Colak
↦ M. Rajovic
72′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ R. Augustyniak
B. Pawlowski 🔁
↦ A. Baena Perez
80′
M. Hanousek 🔁
↦ S. Czyz
80′
S. Akere 🔁
↦ M. Fornalczyk
81′
84′
🔁 J. Zewlakow
↦ K. Urbanski
85′
E. Krasniqi 1–1
R. Vinagre
Samuel Akere 🟨
87′
P. Therkildsen 🔁
↦ J. Shehu
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
30 V. Ilic G
5 S. Andreou D
14 R. Visus D
4 M. Zyro D
13 D. Gallapeni D
10 F. Alvarez M
55 S. Czyz M
6 J. Shehu M
77 A. Baena Perez F
99 S. Bergier F
7 M. Fornalczyk F
Bench (9)
98 M. Kikolski
3 S. Kozlovsky
8 T. Teklic
9 A. Zeqiri
16 P. Therkildsen
19 B. Pawlowski
25 M. Hanousek
27 P. M. Ba
57 S. Akere

Coach: Patryk Czubak

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 R. Vinagre D
8 R. Augustyniak M
11 K. Chodyna M
67 B. Kapustka M
5 C. Goncalves M
82 K. Urbanski M
29 M. Rajovic F
Bench (10)
27 G. Kobylak
4 M. Burch
14 A. Colak
20 J. Zewlakow
22 J. Elitim
23 P. Kun
53 W. Urbanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
77 E. Krasniqi
91 K. Piatkowski

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Patryk Gryckiewicz · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.