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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Fredrikstad

T T U S U

3–1

Full-time

Kristiansund

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

35%

31%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

54%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

58%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,99 xG 1,45

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 7. · Kristiansund 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	27	19	5	3	+33	+24.1	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	27	19	4	4	+46	+41.0	61
3	Brann	26	16	4	6	+12	+21.0	52
4	Tromso	26	15	3	8	+8	+6.5	48
5	Valerenga	27	12	4	11	+1	-7.5	40
6	Sandefjord	26	12	3	11	+8	-5.2	39
7	Fredrikstad	26	9	9	8	+5	-3.3	36
8	Rosenborg	27	9	9	9	-3	+1.7	36
9	Sarpsborg 08	26	9	8	9	+0	+10.2	35
10	KFUM Oslo	26	8	10	8	+7	+9.6	34
11	Molde	27	10	3	14	-1	+4.6	33
12	Ham-Kam	26	8	7	11	-7	-12.5	31
13	Kristiansund	26	8	7	11	-19	-18.4	31
14	Bryne	26	6	7	13	-15	-6.0	25
15	Stromsgodset	27	6	2	19	-24	-23.5	20
16	Haugesund	26	1	3	22	-51	-42.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	10	2	1	+21	+16.2	32
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	1	2	+29	+24.9	31
3	Brann	13	9	2	2	+10	+14.2	29
4	Sandefjord	13	9	1	3	+16	+1.9	28
5	Valerenga	14	8	3	3	+10	-0.3	27
6	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
7	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
8	Molde	14	7	1	6	+6	+12.1	22
9	Rosenborg	13	5	6	2	+8	+9.4	21
10	KFUM Oslo	13	5	5	3	+8	+6.7	20
11	Bryne	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.9	19
12	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-2	-4.9	18
13	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	4	5	-1	+3.4	16
14	Kristiansund	13	4	4	5	-4	-6.3	16
15	Stromsgodset	14	3	1	10	-15	-7.5	10
16	Haugesund	13	1	2	10	-24	-12.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	3	2	+17	+16.1	30
2	Viking	14	9	3	2	+12	+7.9	30
3	Tromso	13	7	2	4	+2	+1.0	23
4	Brann	13	7	2	4	+2	+6.8	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	14	4	3	7	-11	-7.7	15
7	Kristiansund	13	4	3	6	-15	-12.1	15
8	KFUM Oslo	13	3	5	5	-1	+3.0	14
9	Fredrikstad	13	3	5	5	-2	-4.6	14
10	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	-5	-7.6	13
11	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
12	Molde	13	3	2	8	-7	-7.5	11
13	Sandefjord	13	3	2	8	-8	-7.1	11
14	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-9	-15.9	10
15	Bryne	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.0	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	1	12	-27	-29.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.