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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Waskaas Lien

Sarpsborg 08

T U U S T

2–1

Full-time

KFUM Oslo

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 KFUM Oslo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,3

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

68%

48%

Both score Ø 64%

72%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 10. · KFUM Oslo 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	26	18	5	3	+32	+24.3	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	17	4	3	+44	+38.7	55
3	Brann	24	15	4	5	+12	+19.4	49
4	Tromso	25	14	3	8	+7	+4.2	45
5	Sandefjord	24	12	1	11	+8	-5.6	37
6	Fredrikstad	25	9	8	8	+5	-2.9	35
7	Rosenborg	24	9	8	7	+0	+4.7	35
8	KFUM Oslo	25	8	10	7	+8	+9.6	34
9	Valerenga	25	10	4	11	-2	-7.0	34
10	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	8	9	-1	+10.2	32
11	Kristiansund	25	8	7	10	-17	-18.3	31
12	Molde	25	9	3	13	+0	+3.0	30
13	Ham-Kam	25	7	7	11	-9	-12.6	28
14	Bryne	26	6	7	13	-15	-6.0	25
15	Stromsgodset	25	6	2	17	-22	-21.7	20
16	Haugesund	25	1	3	21	-50	-40.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	10	2	1	+21	+16.2	32
2	Brann	12	9	2	1	+11	+13.0	29
3	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	1	2	+26	+23.9	28
4	Sandefjord	12	9	0	3	+16	+1.5	27
5	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
7	Valerenga	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
8	Rosenborg	11	5	5	1	+9	+9.9	20
9	KFUM Oslo	13	5	5	3	+8	+6.7	20
10	Molde	13	6	1	6	+4	+9.5	19
11	Bryne	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.9	19
12	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-2	-4.9	18
13	Kristiansund	12	4	4	4	-2	-6.2	16
14	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	4	5	-2	+3.4	13
15	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-14	-7.8	10
16	Haugesund	12	1	2	9	-23	-10.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+18	+14.7	27
2	Viking	13	8	3	2	+11	+8.1	27
3	Tromso	12	6	2	4	+1	-1.3	20
4	Brann	12	6	2	4	+1	+6.4	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-9	-5.1	15
7	Kristiansund	13	4	3	6	-15	-12.1	15
8	KFUM Oslo	12	3	5	4	+0	+3.0	14
9	Fredrikstad	12	3	4	5	-2	-4.2	13
10	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
11	Molde	12	3	2	7	-4	-6.6	11
12	Ham-Kam	12	2	4	6	-7	-7.7	10
13	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
14	Sandefjord	12	3	1	8	-8	-7.1	10
15	Bryne	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.0	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	1	12	-27	-29.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.