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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Sandefjord
T U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Valerenga
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,88 xG 1,80
59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 13. · Valerenga 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 22 16 3 3 +21 +4.9 51
2 Bodo/Glimt 22 15 4 3 +28 +12.2 49
3 Tromso 23 15 3 5 +11 +8.9 48
4 Brann 23 14 3 6 +16 +0.9 45
5 Molde 22 12 5 5 +24 +13.9 41
6 Lillestrom 23 11 3 9 +5 +5.9 36
7 Sarpsborg 08 23 10 4 9 +5 +0.9 34
8 Odd 23 8 6 9 -3 -3.1 30
9 Rosenborg 23 8 5 10 -6 -1.6 29
10 Stromsgodset 22 8 3 11 -3 -4.1 27
11 Ham-Kam 22 7 3 12 -15 -10.2 24
12 Valerenga 22 5 6 11 -8 -5.9 21
13 Sandefjord 22 5 6 11 -9 -10.2 21
14 Haugesund 23 5 6 12 -14 -5.7 21
15 Stabaek 22 4 5 13 -16 -5.6 17
16 Aalesund 23 3 3 17 -36 -1.1 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Valerenga
39′
A. Ilić 0–1
M. Ofkir
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
56′
S. Strandberg 0–2
J. Dunsby 🔁
↦ G. Koomson
63′
K. Ayer 🔁
↦ A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
63′
1–2 D. Al-Saed
F. Nyenetue
68′
69′
🔁 S. Juklerød
↦ F. Oldrup Jensen
69′
🔁 A. Kiil Olsen
↦ C. Borchgrevink
71′
🟨 Simen Juklerød
79′
🔁 Vitinho
↦ P. Strand
79′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ A. Ilić
A. Tveter 🔁
↦ F. Nyenetue
83′
S. Mørk 🔁
↦ J. Kjær
90′
95′
🔁 M. Kreuzriegler
↦ M. Ofkir
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 H. Keto G
2 F. Pålerud D
15 J. Taaje D
17 S. Foss D
3 V. Egeli D
10 J. Kjær M
18 F. Ottosson M
8 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson M
7 G. Koomson F
20 F. Nyenetue F
14 D. Al-Saed F
Bench (9)
27 J. Dunsby
23 K. Ayer
9 A. Tveter
6 S. Mørk
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
12 M. Viken
4 F. Pedersen
19 F. Berglie
11 Y. Chaib

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Valerenga

3-5-2
1 J. Storevik G
33 E. Bitri D
4 S. Strandberg D
7 F. Oldrup Jensen D
2 C. Borchgrevink M
24 P. Strand M
15 E. Hagen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
20 M. Riisnæs M
10 M. Ofkir F
19 A. Ilić F
Bench (9)
18 S. Juklerød
14 A. Kiil Olsen
29 Vitinho
9 T. Børven
23 M. Kreuzriegler
11 D. Håkans
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
21 M. Sjøeng
17 J. Eng

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.