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NM-cupen

Referee: Tore Hansen

Valerenga

U U U S T

2–4

Full-time

Bodo/Glimt

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Bodo/Glimt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,6

2,4

Conceded

0,6

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 2. · Bodo/Glimt 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Valerenga	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Bodo/Glimt	5	5	0	0	+9	15
4	Kjelsås	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Ham-Kam	5	4	0	1	+18	12
6	Sarpsborg 08	5	4	0	1	+5	12
7	Brann	5	3	1	1	+17	10
8	Viking	4	3	1	0	+8	10
9	Raufoss	5	3	1	1	+7	10
10	Sogndal	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	KFUM Oslo	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Stromsgodset	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Stjørdals-Blink	4	3	0	1	-1	9
14	Brattvåg	4	3	0	1	-3	9
15	Aalesund	3	2	1	0	+9	7
16	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+8	7
17	Gjøvik-Lyn	4	2	1	1	+0	7
18	Odd	3	2	0	1	+7	6
19	Alta	3	2	0	1	+7	6
20	Start	3	2	0	1	+4	6
21	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
22	Bærum	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
24	Jerv	3	2	0	1	+3	6
25	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+3	6
26	Mjondalen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
27	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Vard	3	2	0	1	+1	6
29	Sotra	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Moss	3	2	0	1	+1	6
31	Asane	3	2	0	1	+0	6
32	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Tromsdalen Uil	2	1	1	0	+1	4
34	Ull/Kisa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
35	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+7	3
36	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+4	3
37	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+4	3
38	hodd	2	1	0	1	+4	3
39	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+3	3
40	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+3	3
41	Ørn Horten	2	1	0	1	+3	3
42	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Grorud	2	1	0	1	+2	3
44	Frigg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Stord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Fana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Gjelleråsen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Lysekloster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Notodden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Halsen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Skeid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Kvik Halden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	Vidar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
59	Fjøra	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Byåsen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-4	3
62	Mjølner	2	1	0	1	-6	3
63	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Eidsvold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Sandefjord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Eik-Tønsberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
68	Strommen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	Træff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Loddefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Herd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Kråkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Os	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Heming	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fram	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Holmlia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Tomrefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Mandalskameratene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Drammens BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Floro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Flint	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Eid	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-5	0
125	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-6	0
126	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-7	0
127	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
128	Hammerfest IF Stein	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kjelsås	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Molde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vard	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Stjørdals-Blink	3	2	0	1	-3	6
5	Brattvåg	3	2	0	1	-4	6
6	Gjøvik-Lyn	3	1	1	1	-4	4
7	Alta	2	1	0	1	+6	3
8	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Frigg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Sogndal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Bærum	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Stord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Gjelleråsen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Lysekloster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Sotra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Halsen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Fjøra	2	1	0	1	-3	3
24	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-4	3
25	Mjølner	2	1	0	1	-6	3
26	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Eidsvold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Tromsdalen Uil	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Eik-Tønsberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
33	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Loddefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Herd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Kråkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Arendal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Fana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Heming	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Holmlia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Tomrefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Mandalskameratene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Drammens BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Flint	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Eid	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-5	0
95	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-6	0
96	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	Hammerfest IF Stein	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ham-Kam	4	4	0	0	+20	12
2	Molde	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Valerenga	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+8	12
5	Brann	5	3	1	1	+17	10
6	Viking	4	3	1	0	+8	10
7	Raufoss	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Stromsgodset	4	3	0	1	+2	9
10	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+8	7
11	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+9	6
12	Odd	3	2	0	1	+7	6
13	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Start	3	2	0	1	+4	6
16	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Jerv	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
20	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
22	Moss	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Asane	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+8	3
26	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	hodd	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Ørn Horten	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Grorud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Fana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Vidar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Kvik Halden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Byåsen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Skeid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Sandefjord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Kjelsås	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Ull/Kisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Træff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Os	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Fram	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Floro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.