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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Musial
Zaglebie
U S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
14%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
1,4
2,4
Scored
0,4
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
28 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 14. · Jagiellonia 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Cracovia 8 4 1 3 +5 13
4 Pogon Szczecin 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Rakow 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Radomiak Radom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
8 Widzew Lodz 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Warta Poznan 8 3 1 4 -3 10
11 Slask Wroclaw 8 2 3 3 -5 9
12 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Lech Poznan 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Piast Gliwice 6 2 0 4 -1 6
17 Legnica 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Jagiellonia
Half-time 0–0
T. Gaprindashvili 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
46′
1–0 T. Makowski
G. Giorbelidze
59′
60′
🔁 Marc Gual
↦ F. Černych
60′
🔁 M. Bortniczuk
↦ B. Bida
67′
🔁 M. Pospíšil
↦ T. Romanczuk
M. Poletanović 🔁
↦ F. Starzyński
77′
D. Kurminowski 🔁
↦ R. Adamski
77′
C. Dieng 🔁
↦ D. Bohar
80′
85′
M. Bortniczuk 1–1
Nené
89′
🔁 M. Kowalski
↦ J. Lewicki
89′
🔁 W. Łaski
↦ Jesús Imaz
K. Hinokio 🔁
↦ Ł. Łakomy
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
89 K. Bieszczad G
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
4 J. Jach D
8 G. Giorbelidze D
6 T. Makowski M
99 Ł. Łakomy M
26 K. Chodyna M
18 F. Starzyński M
39 D. Bohar M
19 R. Adamski F
Bench (9)
9 T. Gaprindashvili
20 M. Poletanović
90 D. Kurminowski
29 C. Dieng
33 K. Hinokio
11 A. Woźniak
77 M. Bartolewski
1 J. Burić
24 K. Lepczyński

Coach: P. Stokowiec

Jagiellonia

3-4-3
1 Z. Alomerović G
2 M. Pazdan D
4 Israel Puerto D
5 B. Nastić D
14 T. Přikryl M
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
36 J. Lewicki M
9 B. Bida F
11 Jesús Imaz F
10 F. Černych F
Bench (9)
28 Marc Gual
34 M. Bortniczuk
26 M. Pospíšil
60 M. Kowalski
77 W. Łaski
41 M. Ozga
50 S. Abramowicz
32 M. Matysik
22 O. Wojciechowski

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Musial · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.