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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
Waregem
T U T T U
1–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 45%
29%
60%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
29%
60%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waregem 10. · St. Gilloise 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Antwerp 6 6 0 0 +10 18
3 Charleroi 8 5 0 3 +2 15
4 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +9 13
5 Anderlecht 8 4 1 3 +6 13
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 St Truiden 7 2 4 1 +0 10
8 St. Gilloise 5 3 1 1 +0 10
9 Kortrijk 8 3 1 4 -2 10
10 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
11 Gent 5 2 1 2 +1 7
12 Mechelen 8 2 1 5 -3 7
13 Standard 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Oostende 7 2 0 5 -4 6
15 Seraing 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Seraing United 7 2 0 5 -7 6
17 Eupen 8 2 0 6 -8 6
18 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem St. Gilloise
Alieu Fadera 🟨
15′
21′
🟨 Simon Adingra
28′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
Novatus Dismas 🟨
31′
36′
ℹ️ Siebe Van Der Heyden
VAR: Penalty confirmed
38′
T. Teuma 0–1
Half-time 0–1
T. Derijck 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
54′
64′
🔁 José Rodríguez
↦ L. Amani
64′
🔁 L. Lapoussin
↦ D. Vanzeir
70′
M. Tambedou 1–1
own goal
Dani Ramírez 🔁
↦ A. Sissako
74′
M. Sangaré 🔁
↦ Borja López
74′
74′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ V. Boniface
74′
🔁 G. François
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
78′
🟨 Senne Lynen
84′
ℹ️ Teddy Teuma
VAR: Penalty confirmed
S. Braem 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
86′
86′
D. Eckert Ayensa 1–2
87′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ T. Teuma
Dani Ramirez 🟨
89′
2–2 S. Braem
R. Tsouka
91′
92′
🟥 Guillaume François
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-3-3
1 S. Bossut G
2 R. Tsouka D
18 M. Tambedou D
3 Borja López D
5 O. Drambaev D
6 A. Sissako M
20 N. Rommens M
26 N. Dismas M
14 A. Ciranni F
9 J. Vossen F
7 A. Fadera F
Bench (7)
4 T. Derijck
23 Dani Ramírez
10 M. Sangaré
34 S. Braem
8 L. Vigen
25 L. Bostyn
31 L. Willen

Coach: M. Leye

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
11 S. Adingra M
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
4 José Rodríguez
94 L. Lapoussin
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
19 G. François
23 Cameron Puertas
26 R. Sykes
21 L. Pirard

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,66
U
3,92
B ✓
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.