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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Valerenga
T S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Aalesund
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 7. · Aalesund 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 18 13 3 2 +21 42
2 Lillestrom 17 11 4 2 +17 37
3 Bodo/Glimt 17 10 4 3 +25 34
4 Rosenborg 17 8 7 2 +11 31
5 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 -2 25
7 Valerenga 16 7 2 7 -1 23
8 Aalesund 16 5 6 5 -3 21
9 Sandefjord 17 6 3 8 -5 21
10 Odd 18 6 2 10 -14 20
11 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 1 10 +0 19
12 Haugesund 17 5 4 8 -2 19
13 Ham-Kam 17 3 9 5 -1 18
14 Tromso 16 3 9 4 -7 18
15 Jerv 17 3 2 12 -25 11
16 Kristiansund 17 1 3 13 -21 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Aalesund
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Nikolai Soyset Hopland
1–0 O. Holm
60′
61′
🔁 J. Moe
↦ John Kitolano
61′
🔁 T. Kallevåg
↦ D. Čanađija
2–0 O. Sahraoui
P. Strand
62′
68′
🔁 A. Ammitzbøll
↦ S. Nordli
68′
🔁 F. Haugen
↦ Nenass
3–0 H. Udahl
70′
75′
🟨 Torbjorn Kallevag
J. Eng 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
79′
M. Riisnæs 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
79′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ H. Udahl
79′
82′
🔁 O. Solnørdal
↦ K. Barmen
B. Skaret 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
86′
J. El-Abdellaoui 🔁
↦ T. Christensen
89′
4–0 S. Jatta
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
7 F. Jensen D
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
11 A. Layouni F
14 H. Udahl F
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui F
Bench (8)
27 J. Eng
20 M. Riisnæs
19 S. Jatta
3 B. Skaret
33 J. El-Abdellaoui
30 S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
16 M. Emilsen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Aalesund

3-5-2
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
5 D. Fällman D
33 S. Rafn M
16 John Kitolano M
18 N. Hopland D
10 K. Barmen M
27 D. Čanađija M
15 K. Ødemarksbakken F
11 S. Nordli F
7 Nenass M
Bench (6)
3 J. Moe
14 T. Kallevåg
9 A. Ammitzbøll
8 F. Haugen
20 O. Solnørdal
13 M. Lansing

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.