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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stromsgodset
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sarpsborg 08 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Rosenborg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Tromso 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Molde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Brann 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -1 3
9 Stromsgodset 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Sogndal 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Lillestrom 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Sandefjord 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Odd 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Kristiansund 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Aalesund 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Viking 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Aalesund
17′
M. Abdellaoue 0–1
M. Kirkeskov
Bassel Jradi 🟨
27′
37′
🔁 D. Grétarsson
↦ O. Lie
1–1 M. Tagbajumi
L. Vilsvik
44′
Half-time 1–1
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ Francisco Júnior
46′
Henning Hauger 🟨
61′
T. Høiland 🔁
↦ Marcus Pedersen
67′
69′
🔁 E. Gyasi
↦ S. Fet
79′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ L. Veldwijk
P. Engblom 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
80′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-2
12 R. Janukiewicz G
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
33 M. Tagbajumi F
Bench (7)
11 K. Tokstad
7 T. Høiland
9 P. Engblom
4 K. Madsen
13 C. Sivodedov
25 S. Ringstad
77 S. Makani

Coach: T. Skullerud

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
21 B. Riise M
8 F. Carlsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 L. Veldwijk F
17 S. Fet M
Bench (6)
3 D. Grétarsson
14 E. Gyasi
9 V. Berisha
15 Marlinho
22 A. Arnarson
23 P. Heigre

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.