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Eliteserien
Referee: Marius Grotta
Stromsgodset
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
6,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
4,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 4. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Molde 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Brann 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Stromsgodset 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Valerenga 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Odd 4 2 0 2 +6 6
7 Kristiansund 3 1 2 0 +5 5
8 Stabaek 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Mjondalen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Sandefjord 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Start 4 0 2 2 -6 2
12 Rosenborg 3 0 1 2 -2 1
13 Viking 4 0 1 3 -6 1
14 Haugesund 3 0 1 2 -6 1
15 Aalesund 3 0 1 2 -8 1
16 Sarpsborg 08 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Aalesund
30′
S. Haugen 0–1
37′
🟨 Stale Steen Saethre
43′
🟨 Shaquill Sno
45′
🟨 Sigurd Haugen
45′
🔁 O. Lie
↦ D. Klinkenberg
Half-time 0–1
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ A. Leifsson
46′
Niklas Gunnarsson 🟨
53′
J. Ikaunieks 🔁
↦ S. Hanssen
62′
69′
🔁 I. Uzochukwu
↦ P. Larsen
78′
🔁 J. Hatlehol
↦ S. Sno
M. Mølvadgaard 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
80′
88′
🟨 Izunna Uzochukwu
T. Gulliksen 🔁
↦ N. Gunnarsson
89′
1–1 M. Maigaard
89′
Jack Ipalibo 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
5 N. Gunnarsson D
14 N. Mickelson D
2 A. Leifsson D
70 S. Hanssen D
11 K. Tokstad F
20 M. Maigaard M
8 J. Hove M
42 I. Jack M
88 L. Salvesen F
10 M. Mawa F
Bench (7)
7 H. Stengel
23 J. Ikaunieks
9 M. Mølvadgaard
17 T. Gulliksen
40 M. Sætra
19 H. Stenevik
92 K. Krasniqi

Coach: H. Pedersen

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 A. Lie G
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
15 S. Sæthre M
2 S. Sno M
18 D. Ólafsson M
6 D. Klinkenberg D
19 P. Larsen M
11 S. Nordli F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (6)
5 O. Lie
30 I. Uzochukwu
16 J. Hatlehol
20 P. Bizoza
10 H. Fridjonsson
25 G. Kongshavn

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marius Grotta · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.