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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Augsburg
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Hertha
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Hertha 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 5 4 0 1 +5 12
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 +14 11
4 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 +8 11
5 FC Koln 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Hoffenheim 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 M'gladbach 4 2 2 0 +3 8
8 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 +0 8
10 Mainz 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 RB Leipzig 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Stuttgart 5 0 4 1 -1 4
13 Leverkusen 5 1 0 4 -3 3
14 Augsburg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Schalke 04 5 0 3 2 -7 3
16 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 -6 2
17 Hertha 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Hertha
23′
🟨 Filip Uremović
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
31′
J. Baumgartlinger 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
36′
Half-time 0–0
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ A. Maier
46′
57′
D. Lukébakio 0–1
M. Plattenhardt
58′
🔁 J. Boëtius
↦ S. Serdar
69′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ C. Ejuke
Mergim Berisha 🟨
72′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ E. Demirović
74′
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ M. Berisha
74′
L. Petkov 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
82′
83′
🔁 M. Dárdai
↦ D. Lukébakio
83′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ W. Kanga
93′
M. Richter 0–2
D. Selke
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-5-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
2 R. Gumny D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
23 M. Bauer D
20 D. Caligiuri M
10 A. Maier M
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
3 M. Pedersen M
11 M. Berisha F
9 E. Demirović F
Bench (8)
14 J. Baumgartlinger
16 R. Vargas
7 F. Niederlechner
28 A. Hahn
21 L. Petkov
32 R. Framberger
25 D. Klein
42 A. Zehnter

Coach: E. Maaßen

Hertha

4-3-3
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
5 F. Uremović D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
29 L. Tousart M
34 I. Šunjić M
8 S. Serdar M
14 D. Lukébakio F
18 W. Kanga F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (9)
10 J. Boëtius
23 M. Richter
31 M. Dárdai
7 D. Selke
11 M. Maolida
6 V. Darida
17 M. Mittelstädt
12 T. Ernst
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
3,37
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.