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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Villarreal

S S S S U

4–0

Full-time

Elche

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Elche 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
10	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Girona	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Sevilla	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.