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Eliteserien

Referee: Kai Erik Steen

Aalesund

T U T S T

4–3

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,5

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

48%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

45%

41%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

19 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 12

3 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Stromsgodset 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	29	18	7	4	+38	61
2	Molde	29	16	5	8	+15	53
3	Sarpsborg 08	29	13	11	5	+14	50
4	Stromsgodset	29	14	8	7	+9	50
5	Brann	29	13	7	9	+15	46
6	Valerenga	29	11	6	12	+5	39
7	Stabaek	29	10	9	10	-2	39
8	Haugesund	29	11	6	12	-3	39
9	Odd	29	11	6	12	-13	39
10	Kristiansund	29	9	10	10	-3	37
11	Tromso	29	10	7	12	-7	37
12	Sandefjord	29	11	3	15	-11	36
13	Lillestrom	29	9	7	13	-5	34
14	Aalesund	29	7	8	14	-13	29
15	Sogndal	29	7	8	14	-13	29
16	Viking	29	5	6	18	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	15	10	3	2	+14	33
2	Sarpsborg 08	15	9	5	1	+19	32
3	Rosenborg	15	9	4	2	+20	31
4	Odd	14	9	2	3	+3	29
5	Valerenga	15	8	4	3	+14	28
6	Molde	14	9	1	4	+12	28
7	Brann	14	8	3	3	+15	27
8	Sandefjord	14	8	2	4	+9	26
9	Kristiansund	15	6	7	2	+6	25
10	Tromso	15	6	5	4	+6	23
11	Haugesund	14	6	5	3	+4	23
12	Lillestrom	15	7	2	6	+3	23
13	Stabaek	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Aalesund	14	5	4	5	+3	19
15	Sogndal	14	5	4	5	+3	19
16	Viking	14	3	3	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	9	3	2	+18	30
2	Molde	15	7	4	4	+3	25
3	Brann	15	5	4	6	+0	19
4	Stabaek	14	4	6	4	-1	18
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	4	6	4	-5	18
6	Stromsgodset	14	4	5	5	-5	17
7	Haugesund	15	5	1	9	-7	16
8	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-13	14
9	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-9	12
10	Lillestrom	14	2	5	7	-8	11
11	Valerenga	14	3	2	9	-9	11
12	Aalesund	15	2	4	9	-16	10
13	Sogndal	15	2	4	9	-16	10
14	Odd	15	2	4	9	-16	10
15	Sandefjord	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Viking	15	2	3	10	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.