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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Elfsborg

U U U T T

3–2

Full-time

Malmo FF

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

45%

Both score Ø 53%

65%

40%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 10. · Malmo FF 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	21	13	6	2	+22	45
2	Djurgarden	21	13	5	3	+27	44
3	Hammarby	20	12	4	4	+26	40
4	AIK	20	10	6	4	+6	36
5	Malmo FF	20	10	4	6	+9	34
6	Goteborg	20	10	3	7	+9	33
7	Kalmar	20	10	3	7	+6	33
8	Mjallby	20	8	7	5	+3	31
9	Sirius	21	7	4	10	-9	25
10	Elfsborg	20	5	9	6	+6	24
11	Norrkoping	20	5	6	9	-5	21
12	Varberg	20	5	6	9	-16	21
13	Varnamo	20	4	7	9	-13	19
14	Degerfors	21	4	4	13	-23	16
15	Helsingborg	20	3	5	12	-16	14
16	Sundsvall	20	3	1	16	-32	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	9	1	0	+23	28
2	Hammarby	11	7	3	1	+18	24
3	Hacken	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Malmo FF	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	Kalmar	10	7	1	2	+7	22
6	AIK	10	6	3	1	+6	21
7	Goteborg	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Mjallby	10	4	5	1	+5	17
9	Elfsborg	9	4	4	1	+8	16
10	Sirius	10	5	0	5	+0	15
11	Varberg	11	3	4	4	-6	13
12	Degerfors	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Varnamo	9	2	5	2	+1	11
14	Norrkoping	10	3	2	5	+0	11
15	Helsingborg	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Sundsvall	10	3	0	7	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Hammarby	9	5	1	3	+8	16
3	Djurgarden	11	4	4	3	+4	16
4	Goteborg	10	5	0	5	+2	15
5	AIK	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Mjallby	10	4	2	4	-2	14
7	Malmo FF	10	3	3	4	-3	12
8	Kalmar	10	3	2	5	-1	11
9	Norrkoping	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-9	10
11	Elfsborg	11	1	5	5	-2	8
12	Varberg	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Varnamo	11	2	2	7	-14	8
14	Helsingborg	9	1	2	6	-9	5
15	Degerfors	11	1	1	9	-17	4
16	Sundsvall	10	0	1	9	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.