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Eliteserien

Referee: Sivert Amland

Aalesund

T U T T T

1–4

Full-time

Stromsgodset

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 28/27 matches

Win Ø 13%

19%

Points per game

0,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

75%

63%

Both score Ø 66%

68%

63%

Average goals

3,8

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Stromsgodset 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	28	24	3	1	+64	75
2	Molde	27	18	2	7	+35	56
3	Valerenga	28	14	9	5	+14	51
4	Rosenborg	27	13	6	8	+12	45
5	Kristiansund	27	11	11	5	+13	44
6	Viking	28	12	7	9	+5	43
7	Odd	25	13	3	9	+8	42
8	Haugesund	28	10	6	12	-10	36
9	Stabaek	28	8	11	9	-8	35
10	Brann	28	8	8	12	-10	32
11	Sandefjord	27	9	5	13	-12	32
12	Sarpsborg 08	28	8	7	13	-5	31
13	Start	28	6	8	14	-19	26
14	Stromsgodset	27	5	10	12	-17	25
15	Mjondalen	28	7	3	18	-21	24
16	Aalesund	28	2	5	21	-49	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	14	0	0	+45	42
2	Molde	14	11	1	2	+24	34
3	Valerenga	14	9	5	0	+16	32
4	Rosenborg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
5	Odd	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Viking	14	7	3	4	+12	24
7	Kristiansund	13	6	4	3	+9	22
8	Haugesund	14	6	3	5	+0	21
9	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Start	14	5	5	4	+2	20
11	Stabaek	14	5	5	4	+2	20
12	Mjondalen	14	5	0	9	-5	15
13	Stromsgodset	14	3	6	5	-6	15
14	Brann	14	3	5	6	+0	14
15	Sandefjord	13	3	5	5	-7	14
16	Aalesund	14	1	3	10	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+19	33
2	Molde	13	7	1	5	+11	22
3	Kristiansund	14	5	7	2	+4	22
4	Valerenga	14	5	4	5	-2	19
5	Viking	14	5	4	5	-7	19
6	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	-3	18
7	Sandefjord	14	6	0	8	-5	18
8	Brann	14	5	3	6	-10	18
9	Odd	12	5	1	6	-3	16
10	Stabaek	14	3	6	5	-10	15
11	Haugesund	14	4	3	7	-10	15
12	Sarpsborg 08	14	2	5	7	-11	11
13	Stromsgodset	13	2	4	7	-11	10
14	Mjondalen	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Start	14	1	3	10	-21	6
16	Aalesund	14	1	2	11	-29	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.