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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Anderlecht
S S T T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 62%
57%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
57%
67%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Antwerp 5 5 0 0 +7 15
3 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Anderlecht 7 4 0 3 +6 12
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
7 St Truiden 7 2 4 1 +0 10
8 St. Gilloise 5 3 1 1 +0 10
9 Kortrijk 8 3 1 4 -2 10
10 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
11 Gent 4 2 1 1 +2 7
12 Mechelen 8 2 1 5 -3 7
13 Standard 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Oostende 7 2 0 5 -4 6
15 Seraing 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Seraing United 7 2 0 5 -7 6
17 Eupen 8 2 0 6 -8 6
18 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
19′
J. Þorsteinsson 0–1
Mousa Al Tamari
Amadou Diawara 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Kristiyan Malinov
J. Vertonghen 🔁
↦ H. Delcroix
55′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
56′
Fábio Silva 🟨
61′
J. Duranville 🔁
↦ A. Murillo
65′
1–1 J. Duranville
M. Ashimeru
71′
73′
🔁 J. Dom
↦ K. Malinov
73′
🔁 R. Holzhauser
↦ Mario González
74′
Mousa Al Tamari 1–2
M. Maertens
I. Abdulrazak 🔁
↦ A. Diawara
78′
M. Kana 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
78′
81′
🔁 T. Vlietinck
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
2–2 Fábio Silva
85′
Noah Sadiki 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
3 H. Delcroix D
62 A. Murillo M
46 A. Ait El Hadj M
21 A. Diawara M
11 L. Refaelov M
27 N. Sadiki M
70 S. Esposito F
99 Fábio Silva F
Bench (7)
14 J. Vertonghen
18 M. Ashimeru
59 J. Duranville
24 I. Abdulrazak
55 M. Kana
16 B. Verbruggen
54 K. Sardella

Coach: F. Mazzù

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
20 H. Mendyl D
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
4 K. Malinov M
24 C. De Norre M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
33 M. Maertens F
9 Mario González F
Bench (7)
6 J. Dom
10 R. Holzhauser
77 T. Vlietinck
29 N. Jackers
44 A. Buksa
21 João Gamboa
5 P. Ngawa

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,37
U ✓
5,12
B
7,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.