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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Stromsgodset

S T U U T

3–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,6

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 7. · Sarpsborg 08 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	17	12	3	2	+20	39
2	Lillestrom	16	11	3	2	+17	36
3	Bodo/Glimt	17	10	4	3	+25	34
4	Rosenborg	17	8	7	2	+11	31
5	Viking	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Valerenga	16	7	2	7	-1	23
7	Stromsgodset	16	6	4	6	-4	22
8	Aalesund	16	5	6	5	-3	21
9	Sandefjord	16	6	2	8	-5	20
10	Odd	18	6	2	10	-14	20
11	Sarpsborg 08	16	6	1	9	+2	19
12	Ham-Kam	17	3	9	5	-1	18
13	Tromso	15	3	8	4	-7	17
14	Haugesund	16	4	4	8	-4	16
15	Jerv	16	3	2	11	-23	11
16	Kristiansund	16	1	3	12	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Rosenborg	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Bodo/Glimt	9	5	4	0	+21	19
4	Lillestrom	7	6	0	1	+11	18
5	Viking	9	5	3	1	+10	18
6	Stromsgodset	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Tromso	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Aalesund	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Haugesund	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	1	5	+0	10
12	Ham-Kam	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Jerv	9	3	1	5	-8	10
14	Odd	9	3	0	6	-5	9
15	Sandefjord	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Kristiansund	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	9	5	3	1	+6	18
2	Molde	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	0	3	+4	15
4	Sandefjord	9	5	0	4	+0	15
5	Rosenborg	9	2	5	2	+0	11
6	Odd	9	3	2	4	-9	11
7	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-3	10
8	Viking	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	0	4	+2	9
10	Aalesund	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Ham-Kam	8	1	5	2	-1	8
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Haugesund	8	1	2	5	-4	5
14	Tromso	8	0	5	3	-9	5
15	Kristiansund	9	1	0	8	-12	3
16	Jerv	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.