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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Aalesund
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Odd
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
26%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 12. · Odd 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 19 14 3 2 +22 45
2 Bodo/Glimt 20 12 5 3 +30 41
3 Lillestrom 19 12 4 3 +19 40
4 Rosenborg 19 10 7 2 +15 37
5 Valerenga 19 9 3 7 +4 30
6 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
7 Stromsgodset 19 8 5 6 +4 29
8 Odd 19 7 2 10 -13 23
9 Haugesund 19 6 4 9 -2 22
10 Sandefjord 20 6 4 10 -11 22
11 Tromso 18 4 9 5 -7 21
12 Aalesund 19 5 6 8 -9 21
13 Ham-Kam 19 3 11 5 -1 20
14 Sarpsborg 08 19 6 1 12 -4 19
15 Jerv 20 4 2 14 -32 14
16 Kristiansund 18 1 3 14 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Odd
3′
🟨 Steffen Hagen
David Fällman 🟨
29′
1–0 E. Moses
32′
36′
M. Jevtović 1–1
C. Wallem
Half-time 1–1
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ E. Moses
63′
Nenass 🔁
↦ F. Haugen
63′
64′
🔁 A. Diomande
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
76′
🟨 Odin Luras Bjortuft
Kristoffer Barmen 🟨
78′
John Kitolano 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
79′
86′
🟨 Espen Ruud
T. Kallevåg 🔁
↦ D. Čanađija
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

5-3-2
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
5 D. Fällman D
33 S. Rafn D
2 P. Golubović D
25 B. Šerbečić D
8 F. Haugen M
10 K. Barmen M
27 D. Čanađija M
11 S. Nordli F
21 E. Moses F
Bench (9)
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
7 Nenass
16 John Kitolano
14 T. Kallevåg
29 B. Kristensen
18 N. Hopland
13 M. Lansing
6 E. Segberg
3 J. Moe

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odd

4-2-3-1
12 L. Wahlstedt G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
11 G. Rólantsson D
16 V. Hoff M
8 M. Jevtović M
17 S. Owusu M
14 C. Wallem M
7 F. Jørgensen M
15 M. Ingebrigtsen F
Bench (9)
10 A. Diomande
9 F. Kastrati
5 I. Mesík
20 T. Rekdal
6 M. Lekven
19 F. Tewelde
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
26 J. Skau
3 J. Baccay

Coach: P. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.