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Eredivisie
Referee: M Perez
FC Emmen
U T U S T
0–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 14. · AZ Alkmaar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +16 12
4 Twente 5 4 0 1 +8 12
5 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +4 10
6 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Waalwijk 5 1 3 1 +2 6
9 Excelsior 5 2 0 3 -8 6
10 Nijmegen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
13 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
15 Volendam 5 1 1 3 -12 4
16 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 0 5 -8 0
18 For Sittard 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen AZ Alkmaar
5′
🟨 Håkon Evjen
21′
J. Odgaard 0–1
J. Clasie
27′
D. de Wit 0–2
34′
T. Reijnders 0–3
H. Evjen
Half-time 0–3
J. Dirksen 🔁
↦ J. Veldmate
46′
J. Hardeveld 🔁
↦ L. Burnet
60′
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ J. Vlak
60′
63′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
63′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ M. van Brederode
71′
🔁 P. Koopmeiners
↦ J. Clasie
71′
🔁 Y. Barası
↦ J. Odgaard
J. Assehnoun 🔁
↦ O. Romeny
77′
F. Pacheco 🔁
↦ M. Diemers
79′
80′
🟨 Sam Beukema
81′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ D. de Wit
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Oelschlägel G
2 K. Veendorp D
5 M. Araujo D
4 J. Veldmate D
18 L. Burnet D
20 J. Vlak M
8 L. Bernadou M
7 Rui Mendes M
10 M. Diemers M
77 O. Romeny M
9 R. Živković F
Bench (12)
24 J. Dirksen
3 J. Hardeveld
23 A. El Messaoudi
11 J. Assehnoun
17 F. Pacheco
19 B. Scholte
13 M. Heylen
32 M. van der Hart
15 G. Sánchez
26 M. Wolfs
34 M. Bouchouari
27 A. Toufiqui

Coach: D. Lukkien

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
22 M. Dekker D
5 M. Kerkez D
8 J. Clasie M
6 T. Reijnders M
19 M. van Brederode M
10 D. de Wit M
18 H. Evjen M
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (9)
2 Y. Sugawara
23 M. Lahdo
14 P. Koopmeiners
17 Y. Barası
34 M. de Wit
32 F. de Jong
1 P. Vindahl
28 Z. Buurmeester
13 S. Westerveld

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,80
U
3,69
B ✓
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.