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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Portimonense
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Famalicao
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 5
20 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 4. · Famalicao 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Sp Braga 5 4 1 0 +15 13
3 Porto 5 4 0 1 +8 12
4 Portimonense 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Casa Pia 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Estoril 5 2 1 2 +2 7
7 Chaves 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Sp Lisbon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Arouca 5 2 1 2 -8 7
10 Guimaraes 5 2 0 3 -1 6
11 Boavista 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Vizela 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Gil Vicente 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Rio Ave 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Santa Clara 5 1 1 3 -2 4
16 Famalicao 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 0 4 -8 0
18 Maritimo 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Famalicao
Pedrão 🟨
14′
Welinton Junior 🟨
31′
Rui Gomes 🔁
↦ Pedro Sá
32′
Filipe Relvas 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Zaydou Youssouf
Moustapha Seck 🟨
49′
50′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
Paulo Estrela 🔁
↦ Klismahn
55′
Rui Gomes 🟨
61′
1–0 Pedrão
Filipe Relvas
65′
66′
🔁 Francisco Moura
↦ J. Kadile
72′
🔁 Rui Fonte
↦ Álex Millán
72′
🔁 J. Cádiz
↦ Pedro Brazão
Z. Ouattara 🔁
↦ B. Róchez
80′
Ewerton 🔁
↦ Luquinha
80′
83′
🔁 André Simões
↦ Z. Youssouf
83′
🔁 Théo Fonseca
↦ Rúben Lima
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Portimonense

4-3-3
32 K. Nakamura G
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
22 Filipe Relvas D
14 M. Seck D
27 Klismahn M
6 Henrique Jocú M
21 Pedro Sá M
20 Luquinha F
35 B. Róchez F
93 Welinton Júnior F
Bench (9)
70 Rui Gomes
38 Paulo Estrela
3 Z. Ouattara
8 Ewerton
17 Ricardo Matos
30 Kim Yong-Hak
78 Vinícius Guarapuava
1 B. Özer
19 Gonçalo Costa

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Famalicao

4-3-3
31 Luíz Júnior G
22 H. De La Fuente D
15 Riccieli D
4 E. Mihaj D
5 Rúben Lima D
28 Z. Youssouf M
97 S. Colombatto M
11 Pedro Brazão M
7 Ivo Rodrigues F
9 Álex Millán F
14 J. Kadile F
Bench (9)
74 Francisco Moura
17 Rui Fonte
29 J. Cádiz
8 André Simões
95 Théo Fonseca
6 Alexandre Penetra
13 Dalberson
20 Gustavo Sá
25 Pelé

Coach: Rui Pedro Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,17
B
3,22
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.