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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Odd
T T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Jerv
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
4,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
3,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,2
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
35%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 43%
45%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
22 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Odd 9. · Jerv 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 21 16 3 2 +28 51
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 12 5 4 +27 41
3 Lillestrom 20 12 5 3 +19 41
4 Rosenborg 20 10 7 3 +14 37
5 Valerenga 20 10 3 7 +5 33
6 Viking 20 8 5 7 +5 29
7 Stromsgodset 20 8 5 7 +3 29
8 Tromso 20 6 9 5 -5 27
9 Odd 20 7 3 10 -13 24
10 Ham-Kam 20 4 11 5 +0 23
11 Haugesund 20 6 4 10 -3 22
12 Aalesund 20 5 7 8 -9 22
13 Sandefjord 20 6 4 10 -11 22
14 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 1 13 -7 19
15 Jerv 20 4 2 14 -32 14
16 Kristiansund 20 2 4 14 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Jerv
J. Skau 🔁
↦ S. Owusu
6′
1–0 A. Diomande
F. Jørgensen
7′
11′
P. Wilson 1–1
I. Mafi
18′
🟨 Henrik Bredeli
38′
🟥 Erik Tobias Sandberg
2–1 O. Bjørtuft
V. Hoff
42′
Half-time 2–1
49′
🟨 Leandro Fernandes
70′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ L. Fernandes
70′
🔁 M. Ugland
↦ E. Brenden
70′
🔁 A. Tjærandsen-Skau
↦ M. Wichmann
M. Ingebrigtsen 🔁
↦ J. Skau
72′
79′
🔁 D. Mboumbouni
↦ T. Wichne
85′
🔁 E. Hustad
↦ P. Wilson
A. Stensrud 🔁
↦ A. Diomande
90′
Conrad Wallem 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Odd

3-4-3
12 L. Wahlstedt G
21 S. Hagen D
3 J. Baccay M
4 O. Bjørtuft D
11 G. Rólantsson M
16 V. Hoff M
8 M. Jevtović F
17 S. Owusu D
14 C. Wallem M
7 F. Jørgensen F
10 A. Diomande F
Bench (9)
26 J. Skau
15 M. Ingebrigtsen
22 A. Stensrud
9 F. Kastrati
6 M. Lekven
18 S. Aas
5 I. Mesík
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
20 T. Rekdal

Coach: P. Johansen

Jerv

5-4-1
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
19 I. Mafi D
16 J. Norheim D
22 H. Bredeli D
5 E. Sandberg D
2 T. Wichne D
6 M. Wichmann M
15 E. Brenden M
10 L. Fernandes M
25 D. Håkans F
71 P. Wilson M
Bench (8)
17 A. Diallo
8 M. Ugland
21 A. Tjærandsen-Skau
4 D. Mboumbouni
9 E. Hustad
1 A. Wichne
35 B. Kristiansen
11 F. Schröter

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.