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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Rosenborg
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Aalesund
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
28%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
61%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 4. · Aalesund 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 19 14 3 2 +22 45
2 Lillestrom 19 12 4 3 +19 40
3 Bodo/Glimt 19 11 5 3 +28 38
4 Rosenborg 18 9 7 2 +14 34
5 Valerenga 19 9 3 7 +4 30
6 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
7 Stromsgodset 18 8 4 6 +4 28
8 Odd 19 7 2 10 -13 23
9 Haugesund 19 6 4 9 -2 22
10 Tromso 18 4 9 5 -7 21
11 Aalesund 18 5 6 7 -8 21
12 Sandefjord 19 6 3 10 -11 21
13 Ham-Kam 19 3 11 5 -1 20
14 Sarpsborg 08 19 6 1 12 -4 19
15 Jerv 19 4 2 13 -30 14
16 Kristiansund 18 1 3 14 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Aalesund
30′
S. Nordli 0–1
D. Čanađija
1–1 O. Sæter
40′
Half-time 1–1
R. Giampaoli 🔁
↦ O. Skarsem
46′
E. Tagseth 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
46′
48′
🟨 Besim Šerbečić
Victor Jensen 🟨
50′
K. Ingason 🔁
↦ T. Børkeeiet
62′
72′
🔁 F. Haugen
↦ D. Čanađija
72′
🔁 E. Moses
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
L. Cornic 🔁
↦ S. Rogers
77′
79′
🔁 T. Kallevåg
↦ S. Nordli
N. Holm 🔁
↦ O. Sæter
82′
85′
🟨 Fredrik Haugen
2–1 C. Tengstedt
E. Reitan
92′
93′
🔁 E. Segberg
↦ Nenass
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan M
15 S. Rogers D
19 A. Pereira M
7 M. Henriksen D
21 O. Skarsem M
11 V. Jensen M
8 T. Børkeeiet D
10 C. Holse M
17 C. Tengstedt F
27 O. Sæter F
Bench (8)
18 R. Giampaoli
20 E. Tagseth
80 K. Ingason
32 L. Cornic
9 N. Holm
29 B. Fiabema
40 P. Chrupałła
24 S. Tangvik

Coach: K. Rekdal

Aalesund

5-3-2
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
5 D. Fällman D
33 S. Rafn D
2 P. Golubović D
25 B. Šerbečić D
10 K. Barmen M
27 D. Čanađija M
15 K. Ødemarksbakken F
11 S. Nordli F
7 Nenass M
Bench (9)
8 F. Haugen
21 E. Moses
14 T. Kallevåg
6 E. Segberg
13 M. Lansing
18 N. Hopland
3 J. Moe
16 John Kitolano
20 O. Solnørdal

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.