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Ligue 1

Referee: Jérôme Brisard

Paris SG

S T U U U

1–2

Full-time

Monaco

T S S S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

23 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 9

6 Corners 0

5 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 12. · Monaco 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
4	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.0	4
5	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.7	3
8	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.4	3
9	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.8	3
11	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
12	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
14	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
15	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.2	1
17	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
18	Auxerre	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
4	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
5	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
13	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
16	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
4	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
9	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Le Mans	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
14	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
15	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0
17	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -26 Paris SG – Monaco 1–3 25. Feb -26 Paris SG – Monaco 2–2 17. Feb -26 Monaco – Paris SG 2–3 29. Nov -25 Monaco – Paris SG 1–0 7. Feb -25 Paris SG – Monaco 4–1

Match report

Paris SG Monaco

1–0 Marcos Aoás Corrêa ⚽

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

31′

Half-time 1–0

52′

🔁 Jordan Teze

↦ Vanderson

58′

⚽ Flavio Nazinho 1–1

Jordan Teze

Ferrán Torres 🔁

↦ Désiré Doue

63′

Lucas Hernández 🔁

↦ Warren Zaire-Emery

64′

Lucas Hernández 🟨

68′

🟨 Jordan Teze

Mika Godts 🔁

↦ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

68′

Ousmane Dembélé 🔁

↦ Maghnes Akliouche

69′

72′

⚽ Stanis Idumbo 1–2

Aleksandr Golovin

73′

🔁 Anis Soubeir

↦ Mamadou Coulibaly

73′

🔁 Matthis Abline

↦ Paris Brunner

Dro Fernández 🔁

↦ Fabián Ruiz

76′

87′

🔁 Safouane Benzahra

↦ Aleksandr Golovin

87′

🔁 Christian Mawissa

↦ Stanis Idumbo

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3

M. Safonov G

A. Hakimi D

Marquinhos D

W. Pacho D

W. Zaïre-Emery D

João Neves M

Vitinha M

Fabián Ruiz M

D. Doué F

M. Akliouche F

K. Kvaratskhelia F

Bench (9)

10 O. Dembélé

30 L. Chevalier

27 Pedro Fernández

22 M. Godts

21 L. Hernández

4 Beraldo

24 Senny Mayulu

9 Ferran Torres

6 I. Zabarnyi

Coach: Luis Enrique

Monaco

4-2-3-1

L. Hrádecký G

Vanderson D

Sadibou Sané D

E. Dier D

Flávio Nazinho D

L. Camara M

D. Zakaria M

M. Coulibaly M

A. Golovin M

S. Idumbo-Muzambo M

Paris Josua Brunner F

Bench (9)

11 M. Abline

47 S. Benzahra

14 M. Biereth

7 M. Detourbet

16 P. Köhn

13 C. Mawissa Elebi

46 A. Soubeir

4 J. Teze

49 I. Touré

Coach: Filipe Luís

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

1,34

🔒

Superbet 1,43 1xBet 1,38 Betano 1,38 10Bet 1,37 SBO 1,36 Dafabet 1,35 Pinnacle 1,35 Marathonbet 1,34 Bet365 1,33 Unibet 1,33 Betfair 1,33 BetVictor 1,33 William Hill 1,33

5,59

🔒

Dafabet 6,00 Marathonbet 5,95 Pinnacle 5,88 1xBet 5,84 Betano 5,80 Bet365 5,75 Unibet 5,50 Betfair 5,50 BetVictor 5,50 10Bet 5,40 Superbet 5,20 William Hill 5,00 SBO 4,55

B ✓

7,44

🔒

Marathonbet 8,50 1xBet 8,30 Pinnacle 8,08 BetVictor 8,00 Betano 7,80 Dafabet 7,60 Unibet 7,50 Betfair 7,50 William Hill 7,50 Bet365 7,00 Superbet 6,50 10Bet 6,40 SBO 5,90

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,08

🔒