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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Brest
S T T S S
0–3
Full-time
Paris SG
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,2
3,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,96 xG 2,72
38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
11 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -25 Brest – Paris SG 2–5 14. Sep -24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 7. Feb -24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 28. Jan -24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 29. Oct -23 Brest – Paris SG 2–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.