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Ligue 1

Referee: Eric Wattellier

Lille

S U S T S

2–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,27 xG 1,44

27% Possession 73%

9 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 3. · Paris SG 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
2	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
7	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
13	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
14	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
16	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-2	+2.1	0
17	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
2	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
4	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
5	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
7	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
8	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
9	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-2	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
5	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
6	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
8	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
9	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.