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Conference League
Referee: J Pignard
0–1
Full-time
Atalanta
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,2
0,0
Scored
1,4
0,0
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hapoel Tel Aviv Atalanta
Falcão 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–0
Fernand Mayembo 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 M. Pasalic
↦ L. Samardzic
60′
🔁 C. De Ketelaere
↦ G. Raspadori
S. Turiel 🔁
↦ D. Owusu
66′
71′
🔁 L. Bernasconi
↦ S. Kolasinac
71′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ N. Krstovic
72′
G. Scamacca 0–1
E. Y. Kancepolsky 🔁
↦ A. Kraev
77′
M. Buskila 🔁
↦ O. Altman
77′
Y. Ferber 🔁
↦ Falcao
81′
D. Dappa 🔁
↦ E. Boateng
81′
Marcus Coco 🟨
84′
84′
🔁 F. Cassa
↦ N. Zalewski
Stav Turiel 🟨
87′
Chico 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hapoel Tel Aviv

4-2-3-1
22 A. Tzur
97 M. Coco D
5 F. Mayembo D
4 Chico D
16 D. Leidner D
98 Falcao M
6 A. Kraev M
35 D. Owusu M
15 R. Alkoukin
51 O. Altman M
9 E. Boateng F
Bench (12)
13 R. Baranes
1 D. Benyamini
21 S. Piven
20 O. Israelov
18 T. Archel
14 E. Y. Kancepolsky
8 Y. Ferber
23 A. Lemkin
10 X. Silva
11 S. Turiel
27 M. Buskila
44 D. Dappa

Coach: Elyaniv Barda

Atalanta

4-3-3
29 M. Carnesecchi G
16 R. Bellanova D
3 O. Kossounou D
42 G. Scalvini D
23 S. Kolasinac D
10 L. Samardzic M
70 G. Gaetano M
13 Ederson M
59 N. Zalewski F
90 N. Krstovic F
18 G. Raspadori F
Bench (11)
57 M. Sportiello
95 P. Vismara
77 D. Zappacosta
40 R. Obric
47 L. Bernasconi
6 I. Sulemana
49 F. Cassa
15 M. De Roon
8 M. Pasalic
17 C. De Ketelaere
9 G. Scamacca

Coach: Maurizio Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.