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Pro League

Referee: Michiel Allaerts

Dender

T T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Mechelen

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

0,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

38%

29%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

57%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

0,4

1,3

Conceded

1,9

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,20 xG 1,11

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · Mechelen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	2	0	+14	+11.3	20
2	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+5	+3.1	16
3	Gent	5	5	0	0	+8	+2.2	15
4	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+7	+6.0	15
5	Waregem	9	4	1	4	+0	-1.9	13
6	Mechelen	7	3	3	1	+3	+0.6	12
7	Genk	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.1	11
8	St Truiden	7	3	2	2	+1	+4.7	11
9	RAAL La Louviere	9	3	2	4	-2	-5.8	11
10	Cercle Brugge	10	2	4	4	-1	+1.3	10
11	Westerlo	8	2	2	4	-4	-1.5	8
12	Charleroi	8	2	1	5	-4	-1.8	7
13	Antwerp	6	1	3	2	-2	-4.2	6
14	Standard	7	1	2	4	-6	-4.6	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	1	4	-8	-1.3	4
16	Dender	8	0	1	7	-12	-9.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+7.6	12
2	Gent	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
3	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
4	RAAL La Louviere	5	2	2	1	+0	-3.3	8
5	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
6	Waregem	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.0	7
7	Genk	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.0	6
8	St Truiden	4	2	0	2	-1	+1.1	6
9	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.5	5
10	Cercle Brugge	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.4	5
11	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
12	Charleroi	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
13	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
14	Standard	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.4	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.0	1
16	Dender	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+2	+2.6	9
2	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.3	8
3	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+2	+3.7	8
4	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.5	7
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.1	6
6	Waregem	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.9	6
7	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
8	Cercle Brugge	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
9	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
10	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
11	RAAL La Louviere	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.5	3
12	Standard	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.2	3
13	Charleroi	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.8	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
15	Antwerp	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
16	Dender	5	0	1	4	-8	-5.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.