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Eliteserien

Referee: Daniel Higraff

Stromsgodset

S S U T U

0–3

Full-time

Fredrikstad

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

75%

38%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,78 xG 2,07

50% Possession 50%

24 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 9

12 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 15. · Fredrikstad 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	25	17	5	3	+28	+22.9	56
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	17	4	3	+44	+38.7	55
3	Brann	24	15	4	5	+12	+19.4	49
4	Tromso	25	14	3	8	+7	+4.2	45
5	Sandefjord	24	12	1	11	+8	-5.6	37
6	Rosenborg	24	9	8	7	+0	+4.7	35
7	KFUM Oslo	25	8	10	7	+8	+9.6	34
8	Valerenga	25	10	4	11	-2	-7.0	34
9	Fredrikstad	24	8	8	8	+2	-2.2	32
10	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	8	9	-1	+10.2	32
11	Kristiansund	25	8	7	10	-17	-18.3	31
12	Molde	25	9	3	13	+0	+3.0	30
13	Ham-Kam	25	7	7	11	-9	-12.6	28
14	Bryne	25	6	7	12	-11	-4.6	25
15	Stromsgodset	24	6	2	16	-19	-22.4	20
16	Haugesund	25	1	3	21	-50	-40.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	12	9	2	1	+17	+14.7	29
2	Brann	12	9	2	1	+11	+13.0	29
3	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	1	2	+26	+23.9	28
4	Sandefjord	12	9	0	3	+16	+1.5	27
5	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
7	Valerenga	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
8	Rosenborg	11	5	5	1	+9	+9.9	20
9	KFUM Oslo	13	5	5	3	+8	+6.7	20
10	Molde	13	6	1	6	+4	+9.5	19
11	Bryne	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.9	19
12	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-2	-4.9	18
13	Kristiansund	12	4	4	4	-2	-6.2	16
14	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	4	5	-2	+3.4	13
15	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-11	-8.5	10
16	Haugesund	12	1	2	9	-23	-10.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+18	+14.7	27
2	Viking	13	8	3	2	+11	+8.1	27
3	Tromso	12	6	2	4	+1	-1.3	20
4	Brann	12	6	2	4	+1	+6.4	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-9	-5.1	15
7	Kristiansund	13	4	3	6	-15	-12.1	15
8	KFUM Oslo	12	3	5	4	+0	+3.0	14
9	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
10	Molde	12	3	2	7	-4	-6.6	11
11	Fredrikstad	11	2	4	5	-5	-3.5	10
12	Ham-Kam	12	2	4	6	-7	-7.7	10
13	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
14	Sandefjord	12	3	1	8	-8	-7.1	10
15	Bryne	12	1	3	8	-10	-8.5	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	1	12	-27	-29.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.