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Pro League

Referee: Bert Verbeke

Dender

U T T T T

0–1

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

20%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

40%

25%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,4

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,09 xG 1,82

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 15. · St. Gilloise 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.2	11
2	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.5	9
3	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.9	9
4	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+8	+7.9	8
5	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
6	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.3	7
7	Waregem	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
8	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
9	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
10	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	-4	-5.1	4
12	Genk	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
13	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.4	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
15	Dender	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
2	St Truiden	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
4	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
5	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
6	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
7	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
8	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
9	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.0	3
10	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
11	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
12	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
13	Standard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.2	2
14	Dender	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
4	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
5	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
7	Waregem	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.5	3
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
9	St. Gilloise	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.5	2
10	Dender	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
11	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.2	0
14	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.