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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

Mechelen

U S U T U

5–2

Full-time

Dender

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

24%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 60%

62%

57%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

4,04 xG 0,75

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 13. · Dender 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	21	16	3	2	+22	+21.1	51
2	Club Brugge	21	14	5	2	+28	+25.1	47
3	St. Gilloise	21	12	6	3	+22	+22.0	42
4	Anderlecht	21	12	5	4	+23	+7.0	41
5	Antwerp	20	10	8	2	+17	-0.1	38
6	Gent	21	8	8	5	+10	-2.1	32
7	Dender	21	7	7	7	-4	-8.6	28
8	Standard	21	7	6	8	-12	-7.3	27
9	Cercle Brugge	25	6	9	10	-16	-3.9	27
10	Charleroi	20	6	7	7	-1	+2.6	25
11	Westerlo	21	6	4	11	-3	-0.8	22
12	St Truiden	25	5	7	13	-21	-9.4	22
13	Mechelen	21	5	6	10	-5	-2.6	21
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	3	10	8	-7	-4.7	19
15	Kortrijk	25	5	3	17	-27	-15.4	18
16	Beerschot VA	25	2	8	15	-26	-22.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	11	10	1	0	+19	+16.1	31
2	St. Gilloise	11	9	0	2	+17	+18.5	27
3	Club Brugge	11	8	2	1	+20	+18.1	26
4	Anderlecht	10	6	3	1	+14	+4.2	21
5	Antwerp	9	6	2	1	+16	+5.3	20
6	Gent	10	6	2	2	+14	+3.7	20
7	Standard	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.6	18
8	Cercle Brugge	12	4	5	3	-3	+2.0	17
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	7	1	+4	+2.9	16
10	Charleroi	10	4	3	3	+3	+4.0	15
11	St Truiden	12	3	6	3	-2	-1.0	15
12	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	+6	+10.2	14
13	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.1	13
14	Dender	11	3	4	4	+0	-2.4	13
15	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-7	-3.3	13
16	Beerschot VA	13	2	6	5	-6	-10.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+8	+7.0	21
2	Anderlecht	11	6	2	3	+9	+2.8	20
3	Genk	10	6	2	2	+3	+5.1	20
4	Antwerp	11	4	6	1	+1	-5.4	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
6	Dender	10	4	3	3	-4	-6.2	15
7	Gent	11	2	6	3	-4	-5.8	12
8	Charleroi	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.4	10
9	Cercle Brugge	13	2	4	7	-13	-5.9	10
10	Standard	10	2	3	5	-13	-5.7	9
11	Westerlo	11	2	2	7	-9	-11.0	8
12	Mechelen	11	2	2	7	-9	-3.7	8
13	St Truiden	13	2	1	10	-19	-8.4	7
14	Kortrijk	12	1	2	9	-20	-12.1	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-11	-7.6	3
16	Beerschot VA	12	0	2	10	-20	-12.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.