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Pro League

Referee: Jan Boterberg

Gent

T T T S S

3–0

Full-time

Dender

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,3

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,70 xG 1,08

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+9	+9.6	11
2	St Truiden	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
3	Anderlecht	5	3	1	1	+6	+5.2	10
4	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+3	+3.2	9
5	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
6	Charleroi	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
7	Cercle Brugge	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.2	7
8	Waregem	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
9	RAAL La Louviere	7	2	1	4	-3	-6.4	7
10	Westerlo	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.2	6
11	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
12	Genk	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
13	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
15	Dender	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RAAL La Louviere	4	2	1	1	+0	-3.2	7
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
4	St Truiden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.4	6
5	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+2	+2.6	4
6	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
7	Cercle Brugge	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.9	4
8	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
9	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
10	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
11	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
12	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
13	Standard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.2	2
14	Dender	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	St. Gilloise	3	1	2	0	+1	+4.2	5
4	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
5	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
7	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
8	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
9	Waregem	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.5	3
10	Westerlo	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.4	3
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
13	Dender	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.