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Pro League

Referee: M Ledda

Dender

S T T S U

2–2

Full-time

Mechelen

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,5

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 28%

31%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

62%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

62%

66%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,58 xG 0,54

67% Possession 33%

17 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dender 8. · Mechelen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	20	6	3	+41	+38.5	66
2	St. Gilloise	29	19	7	3	+35	+28.7	64
3	Genk	29	18	4	7	+20	+16.7	58
4	Anderlecht	29	15	6	8	+25	+5.9	51
5	Antwerp	28	12	10	6	+13	-4.7	46
6	Charleroi	28	11	9	8	+7	+5.3	42
7	Cercle Brugge	32	10	9	13	-13	-1.6	39
8	Dender	29	9	10	10	-6	-14.0	37
9	Westerlo	29	9	8	12	+1	+1.9	35
10	Gent	29	9	8	12	-12	-11.9	35
11	Standard	29	7	11	11	-15	-11.3	32
12	Mechelen	29	7	10	12	-5	+5.9	31
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	29	4	14	11	-14	-9.1	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	14	10	1	3	+15	+14.8	31
4	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+11	+7.7	27
5	Cercle Brugge	16	7	5	4	+0	+5.2	26
6	Anderlecht	15	7	4	4	+15	+3.3	25
7	Antwerp	14	6	3	5	+8	+2.3	21
8	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
9	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
10	Dender	14	5	5	4	+6	-2.6	20
11	Gent	15	6	2	7	-1	-2.4	20
12	Standard	15	5	5	5	-1	-2.2	20
13	Mechelen	15	4	7	4	+6	+9.3	19
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	9	3	+1	-0.3	18
15	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	+15.7	34
2	St. Gilloise	15	8	6	1	+15	+9.2	30
3	Genk	15	8	3	4	+5	+1.9	27
4	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
5	Antwerp	14	6	7	1	+5	-7.0	25
6	Dender	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.4	17
7	Charleroi	14	3	6	5	-4	-2.4	15
8	Westerlo	15	4	3	8	-7	-10.1	15
9	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
10	Cercle Brugge	16	3	4	9	-13	-6.8	13
11	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
12	Standard	14	2	6	6	-14	-9.1	12
13	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	1	5	8	-15	-8.8	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.