Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Luzern
Lausanne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | -1.8 | 19 |
| 2 |
Basel
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +9 | +10.3 | 18 |
| 3 |
St. Gallen
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +7 | +1.7 | 15 |
| 4 |
Sion
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | +3.3 | 15 |
| 5 |
Young Boys
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Lugano
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +3.7 | 13 |
| 7 |
Zurich
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +2.1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Luzern
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | -4.4 | 12 |
| 9 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +1 | -6.5 | 9 |
| 10 |
Lausanne
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | +3.3 | 8 |
| 11 |
Servette
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | +0.7 | 8 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -18 | -9.7 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Loretz
G
P. Dorn
D
S. Knezevic
D
A. Bajrami
D
B. Freimann
D
T. Owusu
M
L. M. Silva Ferreira
M
M. Di Giusto
M
A. Grbic
F
J. Von Moos
F
Coach: Mario Frick
K. Letica
G
B. Soppy
D
K. Mouanga
D
K. Sow
D
O. Custodio
M
N. Beloko
M
B. Lekoueiry
M
G. Diakite
F
T. Bair
F
Coach: Peter Zeidler
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Luzern
Sion
Basel
Luzern
Luzern
Young Boys
Servette
Luzern
St. Gallen
Luzern
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.