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Super League
Luzern
S U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Lausanne
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 82%
88%
75%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,97 xG 0,62
56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · Lausanne 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 9 6 1 2 +6 -1.8 19
2 Basel 9 6 0 3 +9 +10.3 18
3 St. Gallen 8 5 0 3 +7 +1.7 15
4 Sion 9 4 3 2 +4 +3.3 15
5 Young Boys 8 4 2 2 -1 -2.7 14
6 Lugano 9 4 1 4 -2 +3.7 13
7 Zurich 9 4 1 4 -3 +2.1 13
8 Luzern 8 3 3 2 +1 -4.4 12
9 Grasshoppers 9 2 3 4 +1 -6.5 9
10 Lausanne 8 2 2 4 +1 +3.3 8
11 Servette 9 2 2 5 -5 +0.7 8
12 Winterthur 9 0 2 7 -18 -9.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Lausanne
Stefan Knežević 🟨
20′
Pius Dorn 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
53′
N. Beloko 0–1
56′
ℹ️ Nicky Beloko
VAR: Goal confirmed
58′
🟨 Beyatt Lekoueiry
A. Ciganiks 🔁
↦ B. Freimann
60′
K. Spadanuda 🔁
↦ L. M. Silva Ferreira
60′
L. Villiger 🔁
↦ J. Von Moos
60′
60′
🔁 N. Butler-Oyedeji
↦ B. Lekoueiry
60′
🔁 M. Poaty
↦ S. Fofana
61′
🔁 J. Roche
↦ N. Beloko
Adrian Bajrami 🟨
64′
74′
P. Dorn 1–1
own goal
75′
🔁 S. N'Diaye
↦ G. Sigua
2–1 K. Spadanuda
M. Di Giusto
84′
S. Karweina 🔁
↦ T. Owusu
85′
87′
🔁 B. Okoh
↦ G. Diakite
3–1 A. Ciganiks
90′
Sinan Karweina 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Kevin Mouanga
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
5 S. Knezevic D
4 A. Bajrami D
46 B. Freimann D
24 T. Owusu M
6 T. Abe M
73 L. M. Silva Ferreira M
11 M. Di Giusto M
9 A. Grbic F
81 J. Von Moos F
Bench (9)
90 V. Vasic
2 S. Ottiger
14 A. Ciganiks
29 L. Winkler
7 K. Spadanuda
34 D. Xhemalija
27 L. Villiger
10 S. Karweina
16 O. Kabwit

Coach: Mario Frick

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
2 B. Soppy D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
93 S. Fofana D
38 G. Sigua M
10 O. Custodio M
16 N. Beloko M
27 B. Lekoueiry M
70 G. Diakite F
9 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
5 B. Okoh
7 A. Ajdini
8 J. Roche
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji
18 M. Poaty
20 H. Abdallah
22 T. Diaz
47 S. N'Diaye

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.